Market · 2 of 21 outcomes
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 1,040 | 27.9¢ | $244 | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 448 | 44.3¢ | $105 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 84 | 74.2¢ | $64 | — |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | Yes | 246 | 25.3¢ | $58 | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 202 | 40.7¢ | $47 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 57 | 68.0¢ | $44 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 53 | 63.9¢ | $41 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| Blurry-Ball0x4734…60b1 | Yes | 91 | 47.9¢ | $21 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 86 | 36.2¢ | $20 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| nzrod0xa5ce…2fa6 | No | 24 | 64.9¢ | $18 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 57.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 43.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| fjlivy0x4620…2916 | Yes | 55 | 35.7¢ | $13 | — |
| zwaaa0xec3e…ef36 | Yes | 49 | 40.4¢ | $11 | — |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 40 | 47.9¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | No | 12 | 57.0¢ | $9 | — |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 33 | 47.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Knowyourball0x8594…7eed | Yes | 28 | 54.0¢ | $7 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 27 | 3.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 26 | 24.3¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 23 | 15.0¢ | $5 | — |
| manicweather0x5568…9ea3 | Yes | 23 | 30.0¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 7 | 68.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| walkwithyourboy0xbc1f…8f78 | Yes | 22 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 6 | 75.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 6 | 68.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 19 | 35.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 6 | 76.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 19 | 3.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 18 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 76.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 4 | 74.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 4 | 65.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | Yes | 13 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 12 | 50.4¢ | $3 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu0xc326…1db1 | Yes | 10 | 53.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asfui8j90x9771…605e | Yes | 9 | 32.0¢ | $2 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 8 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa84e…2abf | Yes | 7 | 45.0¢ | $2 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 6 | 49.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Lordofebola0x1aac…1df6 | Yes | 5 | 31.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9953…51f6 | Yes | 5 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 5 | 60.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | Yes | 4 | 46.0¢ | $1 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | Yes | 4 | 35.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | No | 1 | 55.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 1 | 67.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 60.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 77.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 53.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AllyouneedisClaude0x4708…9580 | Yes | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.