Market · 22 of 30 outcomes
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 24,485 | 0.1¢ | $24 | Positive+$6.93 per $100 · 1,773 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 4,281 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,445 bets |
| olibillions0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 2,333 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 1,462 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,321 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 0x6833…d9e8 | Yes | 1,039 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.37 per $100 · 22,814 bets |
| vser562346y34t2wfw0xf9ad…edaf | Yes | 878 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 833 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 820 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Thevet500xa78f…27d7 | Yes | 712 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 684 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,611 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 521 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| Tanxuan-poker0xe196…b2b8 | Yes | 505 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 461 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 557 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 299 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Securixy.co0x5d96…e836 | Yes | 284 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 212 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 200 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 9,382 bets |
| MartinaCandombe0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | 200 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 160 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 133 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x3e99…073d | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| green-gt3rs0xfe8c…ad4b | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x2a3b…51b4 | No | 0 | 100.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 93 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 80 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| Risky-MooLa0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | 67 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 20 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| IslaWalker0x9524…acd9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| CelestiaAbigailri0x96d1…416a | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.