Market · 13 of 46 outcomes
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 4,266 | 50.6¢ | $2.99K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,632 bets |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 3,128 | 52.0¢ | $2.19K | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 6,920 | 47.9¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| Jydyjyd0x1c4c…8d85 | No | 2,349 | 52.8¢ | $1.64K | — |
| Utoya0xfd0e…d918 | No | 2,000 | 67.3¢ | $1.4K | — |
| OrYn640x4d76…d7a0 | No | 1,575 | 76.1¢ | $1.1K | New47 settled bets |
| jaihind0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | 3,113 | 34.7¢ | $934 | — |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 1,094 | 70.9¢ | $766 | New0 settled bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 1,066 | 62.6¢ | $747 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,788 bets |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | Yes | 2,167 | 28.2¢ | $650 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 134 bets |
| mil950x7b51…3302 | No | 819 | 62.0¢ | $573 | — |
| Yirmeyahu0x55f3…cada | Yes | 1,735 | 37.9¢ | $520 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 157 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 577 | 69.2¢ | $404 | New69 settled bets |
| DeverNoom0x529d…6381 | No | 523 | 72.5¢ | $366 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 891 bets |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | No | 500 | 60.0¢ | $350 | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| Zarshka0xc1cf…9656 | No | 500 | 66.0¢ | $350 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 1,809 bets |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | Yes | 1,000 | 50.5¢ | $300 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| Yolotrading0x9f42…e44e | Yes | 800 | 30.7¢ | $240 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 694 | 50.2¢ | $208 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| usernameusernameusernameusername0x16c2…01dc | No | 278 | 70.8¢ | $195 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 216 | 73.0¢ | $151 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| TLfishmaster0xba68…ab07 | No | 211 | 58.0¢ | $148 | — |
| jiehfof0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | 447 | 35.6¢ | $134 | — |
| 0x096e…9c9c | Yes | 435 | 38.0¢ | $131 | New7 settled bets |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 157 | 70.0¢ | $110 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 312 | 52.5¢ | $94 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 571 bets |
| 0x59d1…07ce | Yes | 291 | 55.8¢ | $87 | New75 settled bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | Yes | 271 | 44.9¢ | $81 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 934 bets |
| Quai-Orsay0xe41e…5aa1 | No | 116 | 62.8¢ | $81 | — |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 270 | 40.8¢ | $81 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 66.9¢ | $70 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| CooneyPoy0x93c6…013d | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $70 | — |
| FuturKPI0xf91d…d853 | Yes | 231 | 43.1¢ | $69 | — |
| polyweatheryuan0x6bf6…2529 | No | 95 | 60.0¢ | $66 | — |
| 0xfd1b…650b | No | 90 | 66.2¢ | $63 | — |
| kreoooooe0x04ce…c645 | No | 90 | 51.4¢ | $63 | Losing−$15.20 per $100 · 128 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 87 | 75.9¢ | $61 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 75 | 52.1¢ | $53 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| vict4sty0x388c…2363 | Yes | 152 | 33.8¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x30a6…f018 | No | 60 | 56.0¢ | $42 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 140 | 37.8¢ | $42 | — |
| Octet0x7a46…4504 | Yes | 134 | 27.8¢ | $40 | — |
| VladimirK19880x63ca…4bdf | No | 51 | 73.8¢ | $36 | New44 settled bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 119 | 31.8¢ | $36 | — |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 117 | 30.8¢ | $35 | New39 settled bets |
| KuTnerr0x4551…3721 | Yes | 105 | 29.1¢ | $32 | — |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | Yes | 99 | 51.1¢ | $30 | — |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | Yes | 94 | 30.5¢ | $28 | — |
| SpacialCrow5560x2654…c2b2 | No | 40 | 56.0¢ | $28 | — |
| sla12640xbcdb…87d9 | No | 40 | 64.0¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 88 | 56.0¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | Yes | 79 | 64.4¢ | $24 | — |
| PrometheusCapital0xde9f…3ab2 | No | 33 | 60.0¢ | $23 | — |
| MP12610xdc4b…b8af | No | 30 | 70.0¢ | $21 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 67 | 47.0¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 579 bets |
| Bakyer0x25fd…a64b | No | 23 | 71.3¢ | $16 | — |
| redk-0010x9e80…505e | Yes | 49 | 40.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Jocoh0xf69a…90f7 | Yes | 48 | 43.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Evvup90000xf071…2593 | No | 20 | 56.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 41 | 53.4¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| 0xae3f…5d56 | Yes | 40 | 58.3¢ | $12 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 39 | 51.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | No | 16 | 70.9¢ | $11 | New34 settled bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 16 | 64.2¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| boutmy07070xd49e…da8b | No | 15 | 65.9¢ | $11 | — |
| rasvp0x6a60…ea7d | No | 15 | 62.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.06 per $100 · 552 bets |
| louj750180x480f…7c91 | No | 15 | 66.9¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 457 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 35 | 57.5¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| 0x9037…8b08 | No | 14 | 75.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Cassandra-Unchained0x4e48…a96d | No | 13 | 76.7¢ | $9 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 26 | 43.3¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ALuksus0x3449…f2ad | Yes | 25 | 36.9¢ | $8 | New40 settled bets |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 10 | 74.0¢ | $7 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 23 | 51.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,079 bets |
| AJK20x014e…3794 | Yes | 20 | 41.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 263 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 19 | 42.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| DeuraJr.0xcfe2…5de8 | Yes | 19 | 26.8¢ | $6 | — |
| we-are-the-world20x8569…2267 | Yes | 17 | 52.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 7 | 72.8¢ | $5 | — |
| zgmzgm0x95b7…c651 | No | 7 | 73.8¢ | $5 | — |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 15 | 22.5¢ | $5 | — |
| mikon-scotti0xd3db…b323 | Yes | 14 | 52.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 6 | 75.8¢ | $4 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 13 | 46.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| cenovisseur0x2087…03e3 | Yes | 12 | 43.0¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 12 | 31.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 51.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | Yes | 10 | 51.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 7,441 bets |
| 6s0o2a9w6lh90x791c…b3b7 | Yes | 10 | 34.2¢ | $3 | — |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | Yes | 9 | 27.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x253b…98d8 | Yes | 9 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 3 | 67.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| RiriLoulou0x949d…2c63 | No | 3 | 69.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x257b…2cbc | No | 2 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | No | 2 | 52.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x97b4…d794 | No | 0 | 75.8¢ | $0 | New36 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.