Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | No | 500 | 69.8¢ | $338 | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 431 | 31.1¢ | $140 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 163 | 65.5¢ | $110 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,784 bets |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | Yes | 326 | 65.4¢ | $106 | — |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 109 | 41.4¢ | $73 | — |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 219 | 27.8¢ | $71 | Positive+$4.99 per $100 · 1,435 bets |
| zzaazzoo0x042d…0720 | No | 100 | 0.0¢ | $68 | Positive+$3.05 per $100 · 526 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 94 | 67.9¢ | $64 | — |
| NabetseMT0x0785…ff74 | No | 93 | 51.7¢ | $63 | New45 settled bets |
| 0x193d…feeb | Yes | 140 | 48.3¢ | $46 | — |
| Shutler0x60ab…dcfe | No | 50 | 61.0¢ | $34 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 50 | 78.7¢ | $34 | New69 settled bets |
| Pikassiette0x3ad0…2bb5 | No | 49 | 60.0¢ | $33 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x01ee…b9df | No | 40 | 58.2¢ | $27 | New6 settled bets |
| Alex.foot0x2059…4d1f | No | 34 | 60.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$6.32 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Urwelcom0x78bc…2585 | Yes | 57 | 60.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 709 bets |
| zaruen0xa3d3…ba8c | No | 24 | 42.0¢ | $16 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 50 | 40.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| vinunited0xdede…8a50 | Yes | 50 | 58.0¢ | $16 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $14 | — |
| mdgc0xdc3f…f038 | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $13 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 31.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Bledardy0x87e9…d811 | No | 17 | 60.0¢ | $11 | — |
| gramschmidt0x6538…9392 | No | 13 | 54.0¢ | $9 | New96 settled bets |
| 0xbeed…296f | No | 10 | 38.9¢ | $7 | — |
| KuTnerr0x4551…3721 | Yes | 19 | 53.0¢ | $6 | — |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 15 | 73.0¢ | $5 | — |
| DeuraJr.0xcfe2…5de8 | Yes | 15 | 68.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaaa0…dea3 | Yes | 11 | 94.2¢ | $3 | — |
| ThomasSDCC0x2d08…228e | Yes | 8 | 65.0¢ | $3 | — |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | No | 3 | 63.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | No | 2 | 37.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ChichiLaCaille0x2689…41eb | Yes | 3 | 36.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | No | 1 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PhileasFogg0x59ef…3210 | Yes | 3 | 37.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | Yes | 2 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 1 | 50.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x9fb1…2706 | Yes | 1 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklysh0x32d4…ae90 | Yes | 1 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9d8a…35a5 | Yes | 1 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.