Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulay0x59d7…ba8e | Yes | 432 | 99.0¢ | $427 | — |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 150 | 97.1¢ | $148 | Proven+$19.40 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 60 | 95.2¢ | $59 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,632 bets |
| Marco27250x012b…4745 | Yes | 43 | 96.2¢ | $42 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 27 | 98.1¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 26 | 96.3¢ | $26 | Proven+$7.43 per $100 · 579 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 24 | 95.2¢ | $24 | — |
| Retamz0x0909…91ca | Yes | 21 | 98.1¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x0a6a…3a00 | Yes | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x86aa…2682 | Yes | 4 | 98.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 250 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 205 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x1b4d…c84e | Yes | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 61 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 60 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 56 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| cristinathearena0x475a…86ab | No | 30 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 1 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 1 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.