Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 996 | 94.0¢ | $975 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| Abdoulay0x59d7…ba8e | Yes | 209 | 99.0¢ | $205 | — |
| ragalita0xd56c…12b4 | Yes | 101 | 96.0¢ | $99 | — |
| BKno950x0d93…8cbe | Yes | 61 | 97.1¢ | $60 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 50 | 98.1¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 15 | 87.4¢ | $15 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 10 | 98.3¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 380 | 6.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| avkppa180evo0x63da…586b | Yes | 5 | 96.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 250 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 5 | 97.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 205 | 2.9¢ | $4 | — |
| jc8wupvy5r560x7919…ee88 | Yes | 3 | 96.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 122 | 5.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x1b4d…c84e | Yes | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 37 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 20 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | No | 13 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 10 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| 0x9daa…9904 | No | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.