Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 1,601 | 90.8¢ | $1.56K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | 242 | 92.3¢ | $236 | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| Trowah0x6518…b97c | Yes | 214 | 93.7¢ | $209 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 24 | 89.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Ortolanus0x47cf…4910 | Yes | 11 | 90.4¢ | $11 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 261 | 5.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 6 | 96.2¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,785 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 235 | 7.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| 0xabb9…2b63 | Yes | 6 | 94.2¢ | $5 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 228 | 10.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 180 | 10.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 170 | 3.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 141 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 141 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 107 | 6.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| 0x86aa…2682 | Yes | 2 | 88.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 90 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 60 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| muaddib100x8d90…de8a | Yes | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 14,000 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 40 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 18 | 10.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 16 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | No | 1 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.