Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 700 | 89.0¢ | $654 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 438 | 86.5¢ | $410 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| sdhyky0x264c…baca | Yes | 397 | 92.8¢ | $371 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 1,477 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 60 | 89.0¢ | $56 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | Yes | 49 | 94.2¢ | $46 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 36 | 91.8¢ | $34 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 33 | 89.4¢ | $31 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | Yes | 28 | 93.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 338 | 7.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 239 | 9.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x5a11…9bec | No | 83 | 6.0¢ | $5 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 78 | 10.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa410…0e3e | Yes | 5 | 94.2¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 68 | 10.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 61 | 11.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 12.4¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,708+ bets · updating |
| muaddib100x8d90…de8a | Yes | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 4 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | No | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.