Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 1,468 | 60.9¢ | $998 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| OgramaC0xd178…ed56 | Yes | 3,028 | 36.8¢ | $969 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| xxzws10xc6b1…78fd |
| Yes |
| 2,300 |
| 44.0¢ |
| $736 |
| — |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 1,790 | 31.8¢ | $573 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 643 | 56.0¢ | $437 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 443 | 55.0¢ | $301 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | 735 | 40.6¢ | $235 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 5,584 bets |
| Betoreagan0x2e59…f95d | Yes | 635 | 32.3¢ | $203 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 275 | 59.2¢ | $187 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 249 | 49.0¢ | $169 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| pelucia0x9134…e0a3 | Yes | 516 | 33.8¢ | $165 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Yes | 500 | 40.0¢ | $160 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | Yes | 482 | 40.9¢ | $154 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 383 | 28.3¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 161 | 26.7¢ | $109 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 300 | 47.0¢ | $96 | New96 settled bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 135 | 68.7¢ | $91 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 130 | 66.1¢ | $88 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 128 | 55.0¢ | $87 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 222 | 36.0¢ | $71 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 87 | 50.9¢ | $59 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| NikolaGoatkic0x9f4d…0002 | Yes | 180 | 31.8¢ | $57 | — |
| isaacjimgom0xef0f…67eb | Yes | 162 | 62.6¢ | $52 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 161 | 39.4¢ | $52 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 73 | 67.9¢ | $50 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| Ad4mse7en0x9fc2…5723 | No | 65 | 58.7¢ | $44 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 63 | 48.9¢ | $43 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | No | 63 | 69.0¢ | $43 | — |
| xdxd880x90a2…be58 | Yes | 130 | 38.0¢ | $42 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 60 | 32.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 60 | 62.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0xb7fe…2a43 | Yes | 110 | 37.8¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 51 | 65.8¢ | $34 | — |
| VechnoMolodoyy0xa3f6…1326 | Yes | 100 | 49.0¢ | $32 | — |
| 0x3b59…36ca | Yes | 97 | 46.9¢ | $31 | — |
| changvictoria0xf875…2aad | No | 44 | 73.0¢ | $30 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 40 | 63.0¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| LudwigVonMises0xc432…0fc9 | Yes | 65 | 31.6¢ | $21 | — |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | Yes | 53 | 58.0¢ | $17 | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | No | 25 | 65.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 20 | 37.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 1,978 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 17 | 68.9¢ | $12 | — |
| richardfoster0xc5b4…23b6 | No | 16 | 70.0¢ | $11 | — |
| trancephorm0xe155…fdd4 | Yes | 30 | 31.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 28 | 69.3¢ | $9 | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 472 bets |
| insidious330x65b4…8229 | Yes | 27 | 38.0¢ | $9 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 27 | 32.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | Yes | 26 | 38.9¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| PamBondiBonds0xbcf3…9d88 | No | 12 | 57.0¢ | $8 | New8 settled bets |
| sortudo260xae39…f921 | Yes | 22 | 48.0¢ | $7 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 55.0¢ | $7 | — |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 10,798 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 68.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $7 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $7 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 59.0¢ | $7 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | No | 10 | 63.0¢ | $7 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 59.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Ortolanus0x47cf…4910 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xd356…963d | Yes | 17 | 69.0¢ | $6 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | No | 7 | 71.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | No | 7 | 62.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 7 | 54.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 6 | 68.9¢ | $4 | — |
| peixaobjj0x9d0d…807d | Yes | 12 | 44.0¢ | $4 | — |
| enderwnd0x055d…5a73 | No | 5 | 57.0¢ | $4 | — |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | No | 5 | 33.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 1,132 bets |
| ZaVDV0x5170…179c | Yes | 10 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa923…aad8 | No | 5 | 46.0¢ | $3 | — |
| dully70xdd46…8a23 | No | 4 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| rlndDischain0x3dc8…ffe1 | Yes | 8 | 49.0¢ | $3 | — |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | No | 4 | 69.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| HosoTrader0x5ad9…f29d | No | 4 | 26.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Rickizin0xbe32…5e52 | Yes | 6 | 55.0¢ | $2 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 5 | 36.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 2 | 69.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| T5C0xe21a…6a4c | Yes | 3 | 33.9¢ | $1 | — |
| attotinparfait150xb341…7981 | Yes | 3 | 42.0¢ | $1 | — |
| championtrade0xa6ba…8169 | Yes | 3 | 38.9¢ | $1 | — |
| memetal0x7b84…a13e | Yes | 2 | 64.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 1 | 73.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 0 | 5.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,655 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 0 | 37.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,931 bets |
| ttkot0x3cbe…74b4 | Yes | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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