Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | No | 9,603 | 87.0¢ | $9.55K | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,557 bets |
| Patek1410x38a2…0b48 | No | 2,660 | 87.2¢ | $2.65K | New0 settled bets |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | No | 1,525 | 87.0¢ | $1.52K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| Ketabi0xbd6a…8d0e | No | 1,300 | 87.8¢ | $1.29K | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 1,164 | 92.6¢ | $1.16K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| 0x7722…5cef | No | 478 | 77.4¢ | $475 | New2 settled bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 260 | 73.5¢ | $259 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| 19591ZHZ0x77f1…91bd | Yes | 32,284 | 9.3¢ | $178 | Losing−$26.69 per $100 · 115 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | No | 160 | 86.0¢ | $159 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0xa24d…6f2a | Yes | 11,345 | 13.9¢ | $62 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 11,144 | 13.3¢ | $61 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| 1e6x0xda2e…6c83 | Yes | 11,090 | 11.8¢ | $61 | Losing−$6.65 per $100 · 116 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 59 | 90.1¢ | $58 | — |
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 55 | 90.0¢ | $55 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| 0x6ab8…ce76 | No | 51 | 91.0¢ | $50 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x1f49…7ce8 | Yes | 8,584 | 6.9¢ | $47 | New74 settled bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 7,330 | 12.8¢ | $40 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| ligeiwoguolai0x941e…9775 | No | 40 | 87.0¢ | $40 | — |
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | Yes | 6,830 | 14.6¢ | $38 | — |
| SubaTruba0xe899…a588 | Yes | 6,572 | 4.0¢ | $36 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 6,473 | 3.0¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| vzkrst0xd352…86a4 | Yes | 6,417 | 4.8¢ | $35 | — |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 35 | 85.6¢ | $35 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| chamuel0xc130…83f7 | Yes | 6,327 | 9.6¢ | $35 | — |
| F1Master0x77ef…9a31 | Yes | 6,099 | 9.4¢ | $34 | New75 settled bets |
| Borezy0x4a1a…1923 | Yes | 5,500 | 27.4¢ | $30 | New1 settled bet |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 5,283 | 12.3¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| Batatabet0x0889…45a9 | No | 28 | 98.7¢ | $28 | New3 settled bets |
| AJ198519850x8c82…4e09 | Yes | 5,000 | 8.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 206 bets |
| ForzaZ0x970d…8a4d | Yes | 4,801 | 6.7¢ | $26 | — |
| jmp1230x147c…2540 | No | 26 | 87.3¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 22,418 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 4,524 | 24.5¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| Cristian.C0x5e62…4e03 | Yes | 4,499 | 12.2¢ | $25 | New8 settled bets |
| j-sty0x3428…b13e | Yes | 4,480 | 22.3¢ | $25 | New1 settled bet |
| LDM80xacbe…85d4 | Yes | 4,258 | 17.2¢ | $23 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 23 | 87.2¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | No | 22 | 98.8¢ | $22 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| 0x3155…a2d5 | Yes | 3,831 | 9.8¢ | $21 | New31 settled bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | No | 20 | 96.6¢ | $20 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| sp3daytona0x4f14…026e | Yes | 3,070 | 20.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.55 per $100 · 186 bets |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 16 | 92.6¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| bdr20xb54a…c622 | Yes | 2,668 | 2.7¢ | $15 | — |
| Cryptoki20xdd7c…3a6a | Yes | 2,534 | 12.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,333 | 8.4¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| alxinv330x064f…e6b8 | Yes | 2,326 | 13.5¢ | $13 | Losing−$18.73 per $100 · 248 bets |
| 0xb046…857c | Yes | 2,312 | 10.8¢ | $13 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,263 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| PaternoM0xf944…4c41 | No | 12 | 0.0¢ | $12 | — |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 2,158 | 4.3¢ | $12 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| El-Yacare0xa49f…6b2e | Yes | 2,086 | 10.2¢ | $11 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 2,057 | 8.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| or2t110x54f7…cf01 | No | 11 | 89.3¢ | $11 | New25 settled bets |
| 0x38e9…7e86 | Yes | 2,006 | 13.6¢ | $11 | New9 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,951 | 8.3¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| MillerJamesy0xda92…df0f | No | 11 | 95.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x0da4…4c24 | No | 10 | 78.0¢ | $10 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x1db5…ef2f | No | 10 | 88.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 1,688 bets |
| microwaveoven0x93d8…56f1 | Yes | 1,818 | 8.3¢ | $10 | — |
| olivas0x37a0…ec34 | No | 10 | 89.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 778 bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 1,810 | 4.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| Cryptex0x00x80b1…c487 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.47 per $100 · 162 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | Yes | 1,793 | 19.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| 0xdabf…b6ba | Yes | 1,722 | 12.2¢ | $9 | — |
| oterapio0x5ff4…9691 | Yes | 1,622 | 15.3¢ | $9 | New8 settled bets |
| 0xe64d…12cf | Yes | 1,619 | 1.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Get100x904f…50c6 | Yes | 1,567 | 14.2¢ | $9 | — |
| Sviestmaize0xe51e…1a85 | Yes | 1,558 | 5.7¢ | $9 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 8 | 90.9¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 1,480 | 8.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| quantgamer0x6628…ad47 | Yes | 1,470 | 24.6¢ | $8 | New91 settled bets |
| PKay0x675e…11a8 | Yes | 1,322 | 18.9¢ | $7 | New32 settled bets |
| 0x338c…aa9b | Yes | 1,282 | 7.2¢ | $7 | New35 settled bets |
| theblackcatb0xb46d…8e83 | Yes | 1,268 | 23.7¢ | $7 | — |
| MiyagoloMusashi0x823d…2db3 | No | 7 | 89.3¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 1,038 bets |
| DWoodNZ0x8542…24d0 | Yes | 1,222 | 16.4¢ | $7 | — |
| Droopy0xfdb2…634d | No | 7 | 74.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x39ac…5e32 | Yes | 1,220 | 8.7¢ | $7 | New27 settled bets |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | No | 7 | 90.0¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | Yes | 1,197 | 16.4¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| GamblingGoblin0x37c4…2183 | No | 7 | 76.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 450 bets |
| plyworke0020x6e63…07ae | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 665 bets |
| gamarjobas0xdb5a…48d1 | No | 6 | 89.3¢ | $6 | — |
| g1111110x1291…ee23 | No | 5 | 94.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 952 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| LumenFalk98240xfc55…dd71 | No | 5 | 97.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Mester010xbf1c…ec86 | No | 5 | 94.5¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| lovnil0xc67e…0e52 | No | 5 | 87.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x50e8…3791 | No | 5 | 95.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 123 bets |
| Rockanore0x9a0e…f499 | No | 4 | 87.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pmic30x1e3f…e00b | No | 4 | 98.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 1,031 bets |
| LAPULGAA0xc6cc…c48a | No | 4 | 98.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x929b…1078 | No | 3 | 86.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Leroi78120x1103…33a9 | No | 3 | 93.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.79 per $100 · 215 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 3 | 83.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | No | 3 | 90.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 3 | 89.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| 0x8329…6f6e | No | 2 | 88.2¢ | $2 | New78 settled bets |
| tonnysoprano0xe3a0…f1f4 | No | 2 | 95.8¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.