Market · 7 of 19 outcomes
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V1nch0u0xf0f8…325f | No | 5,631 | 91.8¢ | $5.18K | Break-even−$0.37 per $100 · 9,445 bets |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | No | 5,004 | 94.2¢ | $4.61K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 2,305 | 95.6¢ | $2.12K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | No | 2,104 | 93.3¢ | $1.94K | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 667 bets |
| BigBullet0xf437…4090 | No | 1,535 | 97.9¢ | $1.41K | — |
| puiemsd0x0659…2995 | Yes | 16,782 | 8.0¢ | $1.33K | New50 settled bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 800 | 93.8¢ | $736 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | No | 550 | 94.7¢ | $506 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 485 | 87.9¢ | $446 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 470 | 95.9¢ | $433 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 319 | 94.1¢ | $294 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| Dreamer19730x5571…a167 | No | 314 | 95.7¢ | $289 | New99 settled bets |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 300 | 90.3¢ | $276 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| RaphCrypto0x1873…37b6 | No | 300 | 93.0¢ | $276 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 622 bets |
| GuaOneBest0x5061…1b03 | No | 251 | 96.2¢ | $231 | — |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 2,838 | 6.2¢ | $226 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| molly-rabby0x663f…bb92 | No | 222 | 93.5¢ | $204 | — |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 210 | 95.1¢ | $193 | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 170 | 94.4¢ | $156 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | No | 149 | 93.5¢ | $137 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 1,072 | 2.4¢ | $85 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 92 | 92.8¢ | $85 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| lakatosnapoleon0x7957…ddbc | No | 83 | 93.6¢ | $76 | — |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | No | 76 | 94.0¢ | $70 | — |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 50 | 94.5¢ | $46 | — |
| regregr0xcbe2…b059 | No | 43 | 96.5¢ | $40 | — |
| vadret0xe6d0…5b15 | No | 43 | 96.5¢ | $40 | — |
| yetiyetiyeti0x9cfc…3671 | No | 32 | 93.5¢ | $30 | — |
| TastyCheburek0x7dfe…ba7e | No | 31 | 95.6¢ | $29 | — |
| Marco27250x012b…4745 | No | 27 | 93.5¢ | $25 | — |
| julesjuncker0xd8e4…ed30 | No | 20 | 92.3¢ | $18 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 190 | 2.5¢ | $15 | Positive+$6.45 per $100 · 7,363 bets |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | No | 16 | 95.5¢ | $14 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 139 | 8.6¢ | $11 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 137 | 3.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 134 | 6.5¢ | $11 | — |
| TuKiBTC0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | 107 | 3.7¢ | $8 | — |
| Tonymountaina0xed8b…7954 | Yes | 80 | 6.5¢ | $6 | — |
| romanew-2s0x68cc…78e0 | Yes | 80 | 8.9¢ | $6 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 5 | 93.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 93.5¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 51 | 2.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 3 | 96.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| brianmok0x4108…17b1 | No | 3 | 96.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 6.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AhmedZH0x3318…479e | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 12 | 4.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | Yes | 9 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 94.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | Yes | 0 | 7.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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