Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 61 overlapping windows · 8 events · $7.23M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x627a…cdc2 | No | 20,000 | 61.8¢ | $19.2K | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 348 bets |
| sadad0x2095…b87c | No | 17,067 | 87.9¢ | $16.4K | New13 settled bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 10,000 | 93.8¢ | $9.61K | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 266 bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 9,644 | 94.1¢ | $9.27K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| stochi0x3a13…7ea6 | No | 9,095 | 88.0¢ | $8.74K | New17 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 8,722 | 95.7¢ | $8.39K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 8,025 | 93.8¢ | $7.72K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 251 bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | No | 6,587 | 92.6¢ | $6.33K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 4,031 bets |
| chirico0x9c0c…d6ed | No | 4,521 | 88.5¢ | $4.35K | New14 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 4,060 | 96.4¢ | $3.9K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | No | 3,740 | 66.0¢ | $3.6K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 3,595 | 66.9¢ | $3.46K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No | 3,274 | 93.5¢ | $3.15K | New96 settled bets |
| Mivindos0x763c…25b2 | No | 3,189 | 86.2¢ | $3.07K | — |
| johndoez0x6f87…f277 | No | 3,050 | 62.0¢ | $2.93K | Proven+$12.94 per $100 · 155 bets |
| HAOI0x6666…db92 | No | 2,738 | 96.3¢ | $2.63K | New24 settled bets |
| OnliFi0x07d4…f94f | No | 2,081 | 90.2¢ | $2K | New32 settled bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 1,966 | 94.1¢ | $1.89K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| knowerofmarkets0xf1fd…b42c | No | 1,915 | 84.8¢ | $1.84K | — |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 1,587 | 63.0¢ | $1.53K | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| PACIFIST0xc752…62e1 | No | 1,500 | 92.0¢ | $1.44K | New68 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,318 | 93.6¢ | $1.27K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 1,228 | 94.2¢ | $1.18K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 1,050 | 96.4¢ | $1.01K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| jiewuyu0x9171…3d84 | No | 1,041 | 94.5¢ | $1K | New0 settled bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 1,000 | 93.7¢ | $961 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 991 | 94.7¢ | $953 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| PickleRickC-1370x87f1…ec8f | Yes | 24,607 | 6.1¢ | $947 | — |
| BUCKER0x7fa8…8ae6 | No | 967 | 93.4¢ | $929 | New17 settled bets |
| volvo6280x4b88…86c4 | No | 906 | 94.0¢ | $871 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 181 bets |
| commentatordp0x20bd…4845 | No | 799 | 94.4¢ | $768 | Proven+$3.77 per $100 · 147 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 768 | 94.6¢ | $738 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 700 | 96.3¢ | $673 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| 0x3ce7…cd9f | Yes | 16,840 | 12.0¢ | $648 | New7 settled bets |
| memester0x2edb…9ac5 | No | 625 | 96.3¢ | $601 | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 994 bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 600 | 96.3¢ | $577 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| fbet0x3c46…7893 | No | 400 | 95.3¢ | $385 | New11 settled bets |
| CoreInc0xcc0e…6d8b | No | 400 | 96.5¢ | $385 | — |
| peseldan0xfd34…de18 | No | 400 | 97.0¢ | $385 | — |
| 0xdcd3…47b6 | Yes | 9,711 | 5.5¢ | $374 | Losing−$21.16 per $100 · 329 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 376 | 92.0¢ | $362 | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| plmk20xc6ca…6038 | No | 350 | 58.9¢ | $337 | — |
| rugmaster20000x1b2c…f03f | Yes | 8,306 | 14.4¢ | $320 | New33 settled bets |
| wahahao0xc9e5…9d79 | Yes | 8,065 | 6.6¢ | $310 | — |
| luckyasia0x389e…188e | No | 300 | 96.8¢ | $288 | New42 settled bets |
| IgorEremeev0x59b2…a9ac | No | 300 | 97.0¢ | $288 | New26 settled bets |
| ToledoPe0xbb87…fa96 | No | 300 | 97.1¢ | $288 | — |
| ViktorAxelsen0xddd1…02b9 | No | 300 | 97.0¢ | $288 | — |
| breakbroke0x9fcb…bf3d | No | 300 | 96.8¢ | $288 | New32 settled bets |
| GhostOfAbathur0x1846…aefe | No | 300 | 96.8¢ | $288 | New47 settled bets |
| ingeborgadapkunaite0xfdbd…9a73 | No | 300 | 96.9¢ | $288 | — |
| NurofenA0xa38a…3b2f | No | 300 | 96.8¢ | $288 | — |
| Taigabar90x6a31…dd3d | No | 300 | 96.4¢ | $288 | — |
| smallballninja0xc58c…e7b6 | No | 300 | 97.1¢ | $288 | New49 settled bets |
| parfenenokbb0x3cad…425a | Yes | 7,356 | 14.7¢ | $283 | New23 settled bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 7,118 | 5.7¢ | $274 | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| megacapper0xc308…7b09 | Yes | 6,500 | 6.7¢ | $250 | — |
| workalpha0x2716…b593 | No | 250 | 97.0¢ | $240 | New24 settled bets |
| arishone0x88a1…a17b | Yes | 2,938 | 6.7¢ | $113 | Losing−$9.19 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| Aptekar0xed36…e096 | Yes | 2,891 | 17.3¢ | $111 | Losing−$6.20 per $100 · 160 bets |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 2,406 | 3.8¢ | $93 | New62 settled bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 2,270 | 29.2¢ | $87 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| Worsello0x59f6…2f2e | Yes | 2,121 | 7.1¢ | $82 | New46 settled bets |
| Semo8880xe5a0…20da | Yes | 2,014 | 11.9¢ | $78 | — |
| hortikkk0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | 2,000 | 5.7¢ | $77 | Positive+$25.13 per $100 · 1,281 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,880 | 21.5¢ | $72 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 1,747 | 6.9¢ | $67 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 1,669 | 6.4¢ | $64 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| clanker90000x3c47…39cd | Yes | 1,601 | 17.0¢ | $62 | New1 settled bet |
| Shanibro0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | 1,413 | 6.6¢ | $54 | New2 settled bets |
| FortuneTella0x9f8d…edbe | Yes | 1,400 | 5.6¢ | $54 | — |
| 0o0o00x5a48…37b3 | Yes | 1,128 | 14.4¢ | $43 | Proven+$10.17 per $100 · 102 bets |
| BobInvestments0x4181…de86 | Yes | 1,094 | 5.0¢ | $42 | Positive+$6.74 per $100 · 347 bets |
| loggeng0x48ae…a5c8 | Yes | 1,060 | 4.1¢ | $41 | New42 settled bets |
| bitkeep0xb36b…3437 | Yes | 1,000 | 40.0¢ | $39 | — |
| OKBETNumberone0xf11c…72ff | Yes | 1,000 | 15.1¢ | $38 | — |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 958 | 26.4¢ | $37 | — |
| champy0xddbc…05e5 | Yes | 947 | 25.1¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x686d…f509 | Yes | 946 | 5.7¢ | $36 | — |
| HiMisha0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | 894 | 6.1¢ | $34 | New67 settled bets |
| Slawjan0x5bf2…ba50 | Yes | 888 | 4.3¢ | $34 | New0 settled bets |
| taby0x7415…4202 | Yes | 877 | 14.0¢ | $34 | — |
| SeregaDrop0x5a61…3180 | Yes | 800 | 14.0¢ | $31 | New30 settled bets |
| 0x13d6…5cc7 | Yes | 793 | 6.7¢ | $31 | Losing−$16.30 per $100 · 151 bets |
| mantra0050xc5cb…52eb | Yes | 782 | 6.7¢ | $30 | — |
| nicebra0x81a5…a317 | Yes | 700 | 8.5¢ | $27 | — |
| gazoled0xfd66…d530 | Yes | 667 | 15.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 8dd0x4be8…d844 | Yes | 664 | 15.0¢ | $26 | New54 settled bets |
| madabrs0x9404…7cf2 | Yes | 634 | 15.8¢ | $24 | — |
| boom690x5753…fa31 | Yes | 584 | 6.4¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 733 bets |
| ai19goat0x4e2f…fcd1 | Yes | 505 | 17.9¢ | $19 | New85 settled bets |
| Eargherah0x30aa…2bdd | Yes | 500 | 14.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$15.77 per $100 · 150 bets |
| 0xb331…e001 | Yes | 500 | 40.0¢ | $19 | New68 settled bets |
| Paradoxpnz0x6afd…a313 | Yes | 472 | 6.8¢ | $18 | — |
| luttoo0xc914…c458 | Yes | 458 | 8.1¢ | $18 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 430 | 5.5¢ | $17 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | 430 | 5.6¢ | $17 | — |
| sufferring0xfda0…6fca | Yes | 430 | 10.1¢ | $17 | — |
| Dutchboy6880x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | 423 | 8.5¢ | $16 | — |
| signiy0xaf3e…8227 | Yes | 414 | 11.1¢ | $16 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.