Market · 20 of 20 outcomes
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 61 overlapping windows · 8 events · $7.18M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 6,687 | 99.1¢ | $6.67K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,428 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 3,505 | 99.4¢ | $3.5K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| Dobrande0x5aa9…3b3d | No | 1,678 | 99.5¢ | $1.67K | — |
| baojuhua0x7bc7…3976 | No | 1,590 | 98.9¢ | $1.59K | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 108 bets |
| YYY5200x331b…3169 | No | 1,506 | 99.7¢ | $1.5K | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 195 bets |
| lanhua60x9170…02aa | No | 1,405 | 99.6¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0x2b71…a0f4 | No | 1,104 | 99.6¢ | $1.1K | New45 settled bets |
| huanyanyucz0x29e7…1b1d | No | 1,006 | 99.4¢ | $1K | New30 settled bets |
| byikg6jhvgf0xcb07…a553 | No | 781 | 99.5¢ | $779 | — |
| dreytfvhb0x5fe0…497d | No | 643 | 99.5¢ | $642 | — |
| lajiawu0x7e14…8f3a | No | 583 | 99.5¢ | $581 | — |
| pennytrader0x0bab…9eb2 | No | 500 | 99.5¢ | $499 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 161 bets |
| tianfuti0x612f…c55b | No | 443 | 99.5¢ | $442 | — |
| skolopendrik0x69d1…f92c | No | 346 | 99.5¢ | $345 | — |
| kocmikdjfm0xd204…62e8 | No | 302 | 99.5¢ | $301 | — |
| hitmanciaoq0x3dec…1a24 | No | 294 | 99.5¢ | $294 | — |
| qwa10xf9bd…1353 | No | 266 | 99.4¢ | $265 | — |
| weaaw0x1d7c…babc | No | 263 | 99.5¢ | $262 | New5 settled bets |
| wead0x43ee…4b05 | No | 263 | 99.4¢ | $262 | — |
| bda10x9066…f7de | No | 261 | 99.4¢ | $260 | — |
| weaa0xb6cd…c464 | No | 258 | 99.4¢ | $258 | — |
| weae10xaecf…67b9 | No | 255 | 99.4¢ | $254 | — |
| Galmon0x89ad…b45b | No | 251 | 99.5¢ | $251 | — |
| pogr0x449c…cc96 | No | 250 | 99.5¢ | $249 | — |
| efwq0x17ed…af26 | No | 234 | 99.5¢ | $233 | New6 settled bets |
| samjob0x43ad…f567 | No | 228 | 99.3¢ | $227 | — |
| fryrufik0xa2a4…7a4d | No | 211 | 99.4¢ | $210 | — |
| northvice0x7c5a…af78 | No | 207 | 99.5¢ | $207 | — |
| arnz0x2ea0…3051 | No | 200 | 99.4¢ | $199 | New53 settled bets |
| leet3330x0d9b…a76d | No | 175 | 99.4¢ | $175 | New80 settled bets |
| idarkx0x14c7…5d0c | No | 162 | 99.4¢ | $161 | New73 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 158 | 99.6¢ | $158 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| eed30xb6b2…dc0d | No | 157 | 99.5¢ | $156 | — |
| middleplus0x1816…526e | No | 157 | 99.4¢ | $156 | New67 settled bets |
| ml888880x4af9…e9ca | No | 153 | 99.3¢ | $153 | — |
| ddaaddfg0x7399…a546 | No | 151 | 99.5¢ | $150 | — |
| leon49590xdc9d…69fd | No | 143 | 99.6¢ | $143 | — |
| kjo;lhuiol;0xfd73…b41d | No | 138 | 99.8¢ | $138 | — |
| 0xb4f0x707d…0b60 | No | 135 | 99.3¢ | $135 | — |
| ukliliw0xa856…4a12 | No | 134 | 99.3¢ | $134 | — |
| kjbjfhvbnm0x73b4…7ed8 | No | 133 | 99.5¢ | $132 | — |
| fntfgtn0x14f7…bb95 | No | 131 | 99.8¢ | $131 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 118 bets |
| 775620xcbaf…0145 | No | 128 | 99.0¢ | $128 | — |
| hsea0xf660…0ae5 | No | 128 | 99.5¢ | $127 | — |
| sfjdsfyj0xf507…d46a | No | 122 | 99.5¢ | $121 | — |
| eyrtrc0xf82e…72b6 | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $120 | — |
| zsdhzdh0x248d…efd4 | No | 121 | 99.5¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 112 bets |
| bbbghjuy0x8cca…821e | No | 118 | 99.7¢ | $118 | — |
| ghmghmghgh0x5545…326a | No | 116 | 99.5¢ | $115 | — |
| recrent0xbaf8…b92a | No | 113 | 99.5¢ | $112 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 38 | 99.3¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| JesusKingofKings0x1c00…741d | Yes | 13,896 | 0.8¢ | $35 | Losing−$9.82 per $100 · 924 bets |
| Starlord0010x3a1b…7dba | Yes | 10,000 | 0.5¢ | $25 | — |
| RomanMaximus0x884d…2e48 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.6¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 1,742 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1,582 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| DFchok0x0251…1987 | Yes | 1,266 | 0.8¢ | $3 | New9 settled bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 868 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| ludik420xa2c3…c964 | Yes | 591 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| sanya1110x75b0…07e7 | Yes | 429 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe750…3f40 | Yes | 284 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| RPro0x7089…7351 | Yes | 251 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| UlixesMaximus0xa10e…0ddf | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd14d…d689 | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 154 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Joemove0x5636…adf8 | Yes | 146 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 127 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Albedo000x160d…6f25 | Yes | 120 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| Palirose0xe8c5…8ed4 | Yes | 77 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 37 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 21 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.