Market · 9 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 59 overlapping windows · 6 events · $7.18M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 58,708 | 92.3¢ | $56.1K | New22 settled bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 36,025 | 93.1¢ | $34.4K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 246 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 25,379 | 93.0¢ | $24.2K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| stochi0x3a13…7ea6 | No | 16,014 | 93.5¢ | $15.3K | New17 settled bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 13,566 | 93.8¢ | $13K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| 0x627a…cdc2 | No | 9,000 | 58.1¢ | $8.59K | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 348 bets |
| vicks0xb2cd…c187 | No | 6,597 | 89.3¢ | $6.3K | New76 settled bets |
| quanyou0x3d65…9ad4 | No | 5,000 | 91.6¢ | $4.78K | New13 settled bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 5,000 | 95.1¢ | $4.78K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 92.0¢ | $4.77K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 4,088 | 90.0¢ | $3.9K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| DegenerateJanet0x8964…0bec | No | 4,072 | 91.0¢ | $3.89K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 666 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 3,533 | 94.6¢ | $3.37K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| HAOI0x6666…db92 | No | 3,106 | 95.1¢ | $2.97K | New24 settled bets |
| PickleRickC-1370x87f1…ec8f | Yes | 60,378 | 7.9¢ | $2.72K | — |
| bobylong0x26aa…5054 | No | 2,680 | 90.6¢ | $2.56K | New9 settled bets |
| AlexMakedonskay0x715d…b09b | Yes | 45,000 | 8.0¢ | $2.02K | New40 settled bets |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 2,000 | 48.0¢ | $1.91K | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 2,000 | 92.0¢ | $1.91K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| jiewuyu0x9171…3d84 | No | 1,971 | 91.6¢ | $1.88K | New0 settled bets |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No | 1,577 | 91.1¢ | $1.51K | New96 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,466 | 92.3¢ | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 1,464 | 37.5¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| ponczyk0x535c…96ba | No | 1,082 | 94.7¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 283 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 1,071 | 78.0¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,000 | 89.5¢ | $955 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| boblove0x6cfe…3232 | No | 990 | 91.6¢ | $945 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 914 | 56.0¢ | $873 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | No | 912 | 89.6¢ | $871 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 912 | 87.8¢ | $871 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 900 | 90.6¢ | $860 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 900 | 91.2¢ | $860 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| Mivindos0x763c…25b2 | No | 888 | 91.0¢ | $848 | — |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | Yes | 13,939 | 9.7¢ | $627 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 4,019 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 13,907 | 10.1¢ | $626 | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | No | 609 | 83.9¢ | $582 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 605 | 95.3¢ | $578 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| FunnyMarket0x200d…401c | Yes | 12,812 | 7.9¢ | $577 | — |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 600 | 94.7¢ | $573 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 526 | 90.6¢ | $502 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | No | 500 | 90.0¢ | $478 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
| OneBadBet0x84f8…0ff2 | No | 500 | 94.0¢ | $478 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 1,486 bets |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | No | 500 | 90.0¢ | $478 | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| PACIFIST0xc752…62e1 | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $478 | New68 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 10,321 | 7.4¢ | $464 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| NewJake0x0ea1…584c | No | 399 | 93.0¢ | $381 | New37 settled bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 355 | 92.5¢ | $339 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 300 | 88.0¢ | $287 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| aanon0x08d0…1f1f | No | 272 | 90.0¢ | $259 | — |
| commentatordp0x20bd…4845 | No | 270 | 89.7¢ | $257 | Proven+$3.77 per $100 · 147 bets |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 268 | 95.3¢ | $256 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| armagedonn0xb4be…2309 | Yes | 5,254 | 6.8¢ | $236 | — |
| TuKiBTC0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | 4,868 | 6.8¢ | $219 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 226 | 89.0¢ | $216 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| horalko0xeae5…a3fb | No | 217 | 92.8¢ | $207 | — |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | No | 150 | 91.2¢ | $143 | — |
| basedboyzfromthenorth0x83c2…110b | No | 147 | 92.5¢ | $140 | — |
| 0x6dff…5faf | Yes | 3,060 | 12.7¢ | $138 | — |
| amopancamo0x3e36…31c3 | Yes | 2,900 | 7.2¢ | $130 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 133 | 93.0¢ | $127 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| Heisenberg150xf5ca…de9c | Yes | 2,702 | 29.6¢ | $122 | New5 settled bets |
| WillFS0x22d3…c969 | Yes | 2,500 | 10.6¢ | $113 | — |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | Yes | 2,000 | 5.0¢ | $90 | — |
| Vanwar0x918e…3271 | Yes | 1,960 | 11.6¢ | $88 | — |
| Jjjj.0xa740…ee18 | Yes | 1,958 | 12.6¢ | $88 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 1,808 | 9.0¢ | $81 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| wahahao0xc9e5…9d79 | Yes | 1,749 | 11.2¢ | $79 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 1,520 | 5.3¢ | $68 | New62 settled bets |
| seconddymension0x92e1…2ec3 | Yes | 1,500 | 9.0¢ | $67 | — |
| Slawjan0x5bf2…ba50 | Yes | 1,257 | 5.9¢ | $57 | — |
| chaicubator0x2186…38bb | Yes | 1,193 | 11.9¢ | $54 | — |
| Dutchboy6880x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | 1,193 | 9.5¢ | $54 | — |
| rabbit8880xcbb1…0c56 | Yes | 1,090 | 8.5¢ | $49 | — |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu0x6c7d…d6eb | Yes | 1,000 | 13.0¢ | $45 | Proven+$13.98 per $100 · 1,806 bets |
| fxbryt0x9958…a221 | Yes | 1,000 | 8.7¢ | $45 | — |
| megacapper0xc308…7b09 | Yes | 1,000 | 9.0¢ | $45 | — |
| PontiusPilate0x7300…e52c | Yes | 960 | 9.0¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 18,019 bets |
| dispa0xb481…ca2f | Yes | 940 | 7.0¢ | $42 | — |
| Newnewnewnew0x15a3…d715 | Yes | 917 | 12.0¢ | $41 | — |
| niko1-9530x8bbb…041d | Yes | 905 | 7.0¢ | $41 | — |
| 11232440x47c2…4412 | Yes | 877 | 8.5¢ | $39 | — |
| itgame0xad5a…8704 | Yes | 817 | 7.0¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x7e9c…492d | Yes | 791 | 6.4¢ | $36 | — |
| Libing770xf200…28af | Yes | 788 | 21.6¢ | $35 | — |
| lacko0xccef…c302 | Yes | 754 | 11.7¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xacc0…441d | Yes | 727 | 10.0¢ | $33 | — |
| osnew10x6b58…4b52 | Yes | 716 | 8.5¢ | $32 | — |
| FortuneTella0x9f8d…edbe | Yes | 700 | 8.0¢ | $32 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 600 | 7.6¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 582 | 32.2¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| pompeytom0xd0e7…b0d1 | Yes | 542 | 48.1¢ | $24 | — |
| JIA-JIA-JIA0xfc03…5224 | Yes | 510 | 9.9¢ | $23 | — |
| YieldYoda0x0630…3fcd | Yes | 500 | 6.4¢ | $23 | — |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 455 | 11.5¢ | $20 | — |
| bigbtc0xf83a…5fac | Yes | 431 | 17.8¢ | $19 | — |
| gazoled0xfd66…d530 | Yes | 412 | 17.0¢ | $19 | — |
| nicebra0x81a5…a317 | Yes | 400 | 8.8¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xccb6…9858 | Yes | 381 | 9.6¢ | $17 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 359 | 7.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x5629…f2a3 | Yes | 358 | 9.7¢ | $16 | New32 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.