Market · 6 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 59 overlapping windows · 6 events · $7.18M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 66,861 | 89.8¢ | $59.8K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 246 bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 42,444 | 85.0¢ | $38K | New22 settled bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 25,143 | 89.1¢ | $22.5K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 16,760 | 92.5¢ | $15K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 10,000 | 83.0¢ | $8.95K | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| HAOI0x6666…db92 | No | 9,126 | 92.0¢ | $8.17K | New24 settled bets |
| 3rr0xec68…a36f | No | 7,000 | 86.4¢ | $6.27K | — |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | No | 5,486 | 80.2¢ | $4.91K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 4,019 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 5,000 | 83.5¢ | $4.48K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 89.0¢ | $4.47K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 4,743 | 92.8¢ | $4.24K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Thalantyr0x2967…bd09 | Yes | 40,000 | 16.2¢ | $4.2K | Proven+$37.27 per $100 · 134 bets |
| PickleRickC-1370x87f1…ec8f | Yes | 39,335 | 6.9¢ | $4.13K | — |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No | 4,193 | 84.6¢ | $3.75K | New96 settled bets |
| AlexMakedonskay0x715d…b09b | Yes | 33,333 | 17.4¢ | $3.5K | New40 settled bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 3,550 | 91.9¢ | $3.18K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| hipop0x54ab…cd5b | No | 3,389 | 82.0¢ | $3.03K | — |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 3,109 | 37.9¢ | $2.78K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| 0x961e…0de1 | No | 3,026 | 86.8¢ | $2.71K | — |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 3,000 | 90.0¢ | $2.69K | New83 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 2,960 | 86.1¢ | $2.65K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 2,804 | 28.0¢ | $2.51K | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 2,712 | 88.6¢ | $2.43K | New2 settled bets |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,218 | 40.0¢ | $1.98K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| tr40x3d5f…a92f | No | 2,000 | 25.0¢ | $1.79K | — |
| OutcomeUnclear0xaee1…3cea | Yes | 16,800 | 14.0¢ | $1.76K | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 1,932 | 86.8¢ | $1.73K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| mountmckinley0xc19f…9d86 | No | 1,803 | 84.2¢ | $1.61K | New21 settled bets |
| humblebacon0x057f…e7ab | No | 1,800 | 76.0¢ | $1.61K | — |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 1,500 | 77.0¢ | $1.34K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 1,397 | 83.1¢ | $1.25K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 1,306 | 89.6¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| 0x711b…1832 | Yes | 10,402 | 18.2¢ | $1.09K | — |
| FunnyMarket0x200d…401c | Yes | 10,000 | 10.0¢ | $1.05K | — |
| bobylong0x26aa…5054 | No | 1,165 | 88.7¢ | $1.04K | New9 settled bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 9,642 | 17.4¢ | $1.01K | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| cryptomoon420x11f8…2bd5 | No | 1,000 | 85.2¢ | $895 | — |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | No | 1,000 | 92.0¢ | $895 | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 1,000 | 83.0¢ | $895 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | No | 919 | 80.3¢ | $823 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| wahahao0xc9e5…9d79 | Yes | 7,485 | 20.2¢ | $786 | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 800 | 92.5¢ | $716 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Illusionist0x8079…b9cb | No | 800 | 80.1¢ | $716 | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 749 | 89.0¢ | $671 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 6,000 | 68.8¢ | $630 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| nicebra0x81a5…a317 | No | 662 | 85.3¢ | $593 | — |
| F210x32f6…9538 | No | 658 | 92.0¢ | $589 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 327 bets |
| dartagnan840x38d9…4e32 | No | 650 | 88.7¢ | $582 | — |
| emanyalpsid0x30be…1e56 | No | 603 | 84.0¢ | $539 | — |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 600 | 86.8¢ | $537 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 592 | 71.6¢ | $530 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 583 | 89.4¢ | $522 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | No | 510 | 37.0¢ | $456 | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| Lowriskbids0x9872…b31f | No | 500 | 83.2¢ | $448 | — |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 496 | 68.0¢ | $444 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| Str3sU0xd71a…78c9 | No | 496 | 93.3¢ | $444 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 382 bets |
| felbax0xa4bd…9bdb | Yes | 4,219 | 23.7¢ | $443 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 4,164 | 16.9¢ | $437 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| smolbrain0x0x243c…2240 | Yes | 3,782 | 17.2¢ | $397 | Proven+$8.24 per $100 · 293 bets |
| nickadamus0xca37…a2ae | No | 442 | 79.1¢ | $396 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 411 | 91.6¢ | $368 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | No | 400 | 79.4¢ | $358 | — |
| 0x5d86…9241 | Yes | 3,400 | 10.6¢ | $357 | — |
| 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | 3,202 | 10.0¢ | $336 | — |
| ArthurMorgann0x777e…2836 | Yes | 2,500 | 14.2¢ | $263 | Losing−$6.80 per $100 · 22,829 bets |
| hortikkk0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | 2,000 | 17.5¢ | $210 | Positive+$25.13 per $100 · 1,281 bets |
| testknow0x3a3a…ee52 | Yes | 2,000 | 25.0¢ | $210 | — |
| Jjjj.0xa740…ee18 | Yes | 1,759 | 12.4¢ | $185 | — |
| arishone0x88a1…a17b | Yes | 1,693 | 15.0¢ | $178 | Losing−$9.19 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| Dutchboy6880x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | 1,680 | 7.5¢ | $176 | — |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 1,667 | 18.5¢ | $175 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| LouScat0x9d34…3f0b | Yes | 1,642 | 7.4¢ | $172 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 1,639 | 13.0¢ | $172 | New62 settled bets |
| hihoh0xd515…14fe | Yes | 1,456 | 11.9¢ | $153 | — |
| TuKiBTC0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | 1,374 | 8.7¢ | $144 | — |
| Slawjan0x5bf2…ba50 | Yes | 1,348 | 11.1¢ | $142 | — |
| weer0x2e01…2699 | Yes | 1,324 | 15.9¢ | $139 | — |
| mia84180xcf9e…e286 | Yes | 1,310 | 15.5¢ | $138 | — |
| x1000x0xd733…0dde | Yes | 1,281 | 15.3¢ | $134 | — |
| Heisenberg150xf5ca…de9c | Yes | 1,152 | 43.4¢ | $121 | New5 settled bets |
| stagingterritory0xe64e…2143 | Yes | 1,059 | 28.3¢ | $111 | — |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 1,055 | 26.8¢ | $111 | — |
| Vonne0x9a38…360b | Yes | 1,014 | 15.6¢ | $107 | Losing−$22.19 per $100 · 631 bets |
| 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | 1,000 | 10.6¢ | $105 | — |
| HELLSYEAH0x7bbd…7dc6 | Yes | 1,000 | 16.0¢ | $105 | — |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 925 | 14.9¢ | $97 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| Etalon0xb1e4…068b | Yes | 896 | 11.2¢ | $94 | — |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 872 | 45.7¢ | $92 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| wikoo0x36bb…c777 | Yes | 859 | 16.9¢ | $90 | — |
| FortuneTella0x9f8d…edbe | Yes | 800 | 16.0¢ | $84 | — |
| Alfayonaa0x312e…c604 | Yes | 800 | 9.6¢ | $84 | — |
| gazoled0xfd66…d530 | Yes | 764 | 18.0¢ | $80 | — |
| Ditodamaster0x8abd…99e6 | Yes | 737 | 14.8¢ | $77 | — |
| 8dd0x4be8…d844 | Yes | 707 | 28.3¢ | $74 | — |
| 0xccb6…9858 | Yes | 672 | 16.9¢ | $71 | — |
| magiorka0x26a1…cff9 | Yes | 625 | 17.1¢ | $66 | New19 settled bets |
| lacko0xccef…c302 | Yes | 625 | 16.9¢ | $66 | — |
| joeb0030xa2d5…7a9f | Yes | 611 | 15.2¢ | $64 | — |
| shown0x262c…5f00 | Yes | 600 | 11.7¢ | $63 | — |
| shifly0x6505…524a | Yes | 575 | 8.5¢ | $60 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.