Market · 9 of 20 outcomes
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 23,546 | 58.6¢ | $20.2K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | No | 14,057 | 55.7¢ | $12.1K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| moh.ak0x8225…5025 | Yes | 32,000 | 47.0¢ | $4.48K | — |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | No | 2,000 | 90.1¢ | $1.72K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 1,498 | 76.3¢ | $1.29K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| elrah0x81a6…b93b | No | 1,215 | 83.3¢ | $1.05K | — |
| Galthran0x2b16…a4fc | No | 1,200 | 89.3¢ | $1.03K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 768 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 997 | 80.1¢ | $857 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,354 bets |
| shizzle990xa2c9…9c10 | No | 996 | 62.0¢ | $857 | — |
| hortikkk0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | 5,000 | 22.5¢ | $700 | Positive+$25.13 per $100 · 1,281 bets |
| Pellepele0x17db…c1e8 | No | 788 | 90.6¢ | $678 | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 538 | 64.0¢ | $463 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 455 | 86.7¢ | $391 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| vedaresearch30x8e15…b101 | No | 444 | 88.8¢ | $382 | — |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 424 | 60.7¢ | $364 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| 33pls0xf6dc…246e | Yes | 2,500 | 50.1¢ | $350 | — |
| fesgfsdfsd0x9e2a…1ef1 | Yes | 2,450 | 39.4¢ | $343 | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 364 | 87.9¢ | $313 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| luckdog0x6995…99f9 | No | 350 | 88.4¢ | $301 | — |
| aaaggiudb0xefca…3650 | No | 200 | 59.0¢ | $172 | — |
| 0xda0f…2a19 | No | 200 | 87.7¢ | $172 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 945 | 19.5¢ | $132 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 245080x0129…f939 | Yes | 910 | 16.1¢ | $127 | New92 settled bets |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 820 | 53.7¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 123 | 61.8¢ | $106 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| cyfra0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | 722 | 11.6¢ | $101 | Positive+$5.21 per $100 · 2,740 bets |
| jsjr0x12bf…ddaf | No | 114 | 82.0¢ | $98 | Losing−$1.74 per $100 · 688 bets |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | No | 100 | 48.0¢ | $86 | — |
| werffdsfa0x7723…6989 | No | 100 | 88.0¢ | $86 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $86 | — |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 550 | 10.7¢ | $77 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | 546 | 41.7¢ | $76 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 500 | 44.7¢ | $70 | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| 0xf7e1…2f5f | Yes | 498 | 12.7¢ | $70 | — |
| Samsara-Tj0x0b2d…601b | Yes | 424 | 41.7¢ | $59 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 65 | 84.0¢ | $56 | — |
| web3manish0x74cc…be60 | Yes | 326 | 27.2¢ | $46 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 51 | 58.0¢ | $44 | — |
| bigBob0x0f51…da36 | No | 50 | 82.0¢ | $43 | — |
| 0xd561…4f02 | No | 42 | 60.7¢ | $36 | — |
| kristin670x8ac6…43c9 | No | 42 | 61.0¢ | $36 | — |
| skrol1f0x1a51…51ee | Yes | 254 | 42.7¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x5380…9592 | Yes | 227 | 45.7¢ | $32 | — |
| bullub0xb625…f4a9 | Yes | 213 | 12.7¢ | $30 | — |
| I7370x9d5a…572c | Yes | 211 | 20.1¢ | $29 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 200 | 42.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| shuishen02030xf9d8…ff32 | Yes | 200 | 37.0¢ | $28 | — |
| styggvan0xe4a6…1948 | No | 31 | 58.0¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 15,569 bets |
| jinwujinshu0x06fb…9713 | No | 30 | 84.0¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 895 bets |
| 0x3797…efea | Yes | 133 | 13.9¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x3daf…15d6 | Yes | 126 | 12.8¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x572c…4360 | No | 20 | 61.1¢ | $17 | — |
| SOULAIMAN0xf5a6…adac | No | 19 | 55.7¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xad4c…26f3 | No | 16 | 61.7¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x6dd9…6c86 | Yes | 91 | 45.7¢ | $13 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 15 | 86.2¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| faceglobally0x1020…4968 | Yes | 90 | 24.5¢ | $13 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 14 | 87.0¢ | $12 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 71 | 34.3¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x7dde…ef0d | No | 8 | 61.1¢ | $7 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 50 | 43.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.17 per $100 · 163,834+ bets · updating |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | 7 | 82.1¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| trullq0x3ecd…b65d | Yes | 38 | 13.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x84a9…1801 | Yes | 35 | 14.3¢ | $5 | — |
| dfv30xb679…bb10 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| DwayneTheRain0xe08e…16ca | No | 5 | 60.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x79cc…8258 | Yes | 24 | 42.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1785…a867 | No | 4 | 82.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6ca2…1981 | No | 4 | 84.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa783…0a48 | Yes | 16 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 12 | 39.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| rrm17pl0x762f…fb2f | Yes | 12 | 43.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ilyas2026finland0x70f9…41c8 | Yes | 10 | 52.7¢ | $1 | — |
| gastro20220x507c…dd64 | No | 2 | 66.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4745…a5c3 | Yes | 9 | 11.7¢ | $1 | — |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | Yes | 9 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Moazzeni0x3d27…d744 | Yes | 7 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| light8210xd3a7…4cd5 | Yes | 5 | 22.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa149…0c8d | Yes | 2 | 43.7¢ | $0 | — |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | No | 0 | 55.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| 0x7c3e…4c13 | Yes | 2 | 46.7¢ | $0 | — |
| -FROMTHEFUTURE-0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | 2 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$12.39 per $100 · 523 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,814 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Ethereum price range · 59 overlapping windows · 6 events · $7.18M in play