Market · 1 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 61 overlapping windows · 8 events · $7.23M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| En110060xb875…4b16 | Yes | 30,000 | 66.0¢ | $14.5K | New52 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 19,107 | 34.4¢ | $9.84K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| pilimili0xd104…acef | Yes | 9,194 | 46.0¢ | $4.46K | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 266 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 8,050 | 63.3¢ | $4.15K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 5,514 | 84.7¢ | $2.84K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| hortikkk0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | 5,500 | 52.3¢ | $2.67K | Positive+$25.13 per $100 · 1,281 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 59.0¢ | $2.58K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Bighouse0x6e82…091f | No | 4,043 | 51.9¢ | $2.08K | New26 settled bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 4,000 | 40.0¢ | $2.06K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 3,979 | 50.9¢ | $2.05K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| Aptekar0xed36…e096 | Yes | 3,719 | 58.1¢ | $1.8K | Losing−$6.20 per $100 · 160 bets |
| dogerfad0x6cb2…99a3 | No | 2,994 | 35.6¢ | $1.54K | New45 settled bets |
| kriptomagduru0xd432…ce2d | Yes | 2,952 | 56.0¢ | $1.43K | — |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 2,897 | 69.7¢ | $1.4K | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | No | 2,458 | 35.6¢ | $1.27K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 4,031 bets |
| AlexMakedonskay0x715d…b09b | Yes | 2,557 | 14.0¢ | $1.24K | New40 settled bets |
| vicks0xb2cd…c187 | No | 2,000 | 54.0¢ | $1.03K | New76 settled bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | No | 1,767 | 59.2¢ | $910 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | No | 1,554 | 76.1¢ | $800 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
| max1ved0x3c5d…7be1 | No | 1,227 | 37.8¢ | $632 | New21 settled bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 1,200 | 47.6¢ | $618 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| zj22220x3072…7601 | No | 1,160 | 44.0¢ | $598 | New20 settled bets |
| ra1n7890xe6f2…7448 | Yes | 1,001 | 13.0¢ | $486 | — |
| wtfispolcue0x3793…8f46 | Yes | 870 | 47.7¢ | $422 | Proven+$3.67 per $100 · 730 bets |
| joeb0030xa2d5…7a9f | Yes | 811 | 49.6¢ | $393 | — |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | No | 681 | 27.9¢ | $351 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 680 | 43.0¢ | $350 | Proven+$13.56 per $100 · 1,691 bets |
| Aveen0xefab…258e | Yes | 714 | 71.5¢ | $346 | — |
| memester0x2edb…9ac5 | No | 594 | 84.9¢ | $306 | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 994 bets |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | No | 588 | 85.1¢ | $303 | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Boekelberg19910x95b6…326b | No | 568 | 84.9¢ | $293 | — |
| AK47470xa5bf…8763 | Yes | 557 | 49.3¢ | $270 | Losing−$15.45 per $100 · 848 bets |
| LouScat0x9d34…3f0b | Yes | 556 | 19.0¢ | $269 | — |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 500 | 85.0¢ | $257 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| kevolution0x710d…02aa | Yes | 460 | 57.5¢ | $223 | Proven+$2.57 per $100 · 3,595 bets |
| 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | 455 | 23.2¢ | $220 | Losing−$8.96 per $100 · 599 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | Yes | 445 | 69.0¢ | $216 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | No | 397 | 35.6¢ | $205 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| MiladyMilady0xbedd…68b7 | Yes | 387 | 62.4¢ | $188 | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 370 | 47.5¢ | $180 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 324 | 69.8¢ | $167 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Pre-rich-dude0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | 300 | 48.0¢ | $146 | Positive+$3.86 per $100 · 831 bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | Yes | 300 | 77.3¢ | $146 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| 0x0aab…e3f2 | Yes | 300 | 74.5¢ | $145 | New1 settled bet |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 280 | 43.2¢ | $136 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0x8e61…2d22 | Yes | 272 | 15.4¢ | $132 | — |
| tiam20xb8df…d316 | Yes | 269 | 11.7¢ | $131 | — |
| Simonyap0x880a…308e | Yes | 243 | 51.7¢ | $118 | — |
| hihoh0xd515…14fe | Yes | 242 | 50.7¢ | $117 | — |
| aanon0x08d0…1f1f | No | 200 | 49.0¢ | $103 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 194 bets |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 198 | 80.7¢ | $102 | — |
| userjay0x1361…a615 | Yes | 200 | 56.0¢ | $97 | Losing−$15.03 per $100 · 175 bets |
| heiei0x4759…f916 | No | 180 | 51.3¢ | $93 | Proven+$15.51 per $100 · 131 bets |
| ResolvedMarkets0x4109…ad6b | Yes | 190 | 52.0¢ | $92 | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 783 bets |
| 0xa894…53da | No | 173 | 59.4¢ | $89 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| ibear0xe25a…7f82 | Yes | 170 | 42.1¢ | $82 | — |
| 0x1955…e6e8 | Yes | 165 | 51.8¢ | $80 | Losing−$13.94 per $100 · 845 bets |
| alanbro0x9428…677b | Yes | 158 | 13.5¢ | $76 | — |
| bhjb2hjmm0x1163…918d | Yes | 154 | 66.6¢ | $75 | New28 settled bets |
| Valerka0x9c7b…a592 | Yes | 150 | 49.0¢ | $73 | — |
| uuuuuuuhhh0xb938…6f03 | Yes | 126 | 41.0¢ | $61 | New27 settled bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 100 | 38.5¢ | $52 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| fxbryt0x9958…a221 | Yes | 100 | 24.8¢ | $49 | — |
| 73130xdbb8…c0e9 | No | 84 | 87.4¢ | $43 | — |
| skyonlyone0xe6f5…a4bf | Yes | 88 | 60.7¢ | $43 | — |
| 0xa616…e98e | Yes | 87 | 13.1¢ | $42 | — |
| poylboy0x75eb…d2bb | Yes | 86 | 49.3¢ | $42 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x3260…e91c | Yes | 80 | 39.8¢ | $39 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xb54e…cf8e | Yes | 79 | 54.7¢ | $38 | — |
| stagingterritory0xe64e…2143 | No | 71 | 23.0¢ | $37 | — |
| 9df0x4c9e…190b | Yes | 75 | 19.0¢ | $36 | Positive+$16.62 per $100 · 280 bets |
| BTRSPORTS0xa32f…28bc | Yes | 70 | 16.4¢ | $34 | — |
| BayesianBeast0xb90b…fa17 | Yes | 70 | 67.2¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xd3cf…f20e | Yes | 67 | 77.4¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | 65 | 19.6¢ | $31 | — |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | No | 59 | 35.4¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| iagoWFLD0xa813…04fb | Yes | 60 | 52.5¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 481 bets |
| luk13370x862a…8409 | Yes | 59 | 52.9¢ | $28 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 54 | 56.2¢ | $26 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 43,171+ bets · updating |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | 32 | 29.8¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| ChocoFrenchFries990xa9c7…67b7 | No | 30 | 35.6¢ | $15 | — |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 30 | 86.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 26 | 49.4¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 22 | 59.8¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| santabarbaraInv0x4e4e…7c90 | No | 18 | 82.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 225 bets |
| Jet90x8705…8354 | No | 16 | 53.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| Grinder7770x3613…59c6 | No | 15 | 50.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$7.56 per $100 · 974 bets |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 15 | 34.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| LeeLiam0xabd4…47e0 | No | 11 | 37.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 3rdmeta0xa281…571e | No | 10 | 61.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 3,194 bets |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 10 | 59.5¢ | $5 | — |
| plmk20xc6ca…6038 | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| Melanthec0x2eac…ea76 | No | 10 | 37.6¢ | $5 | New17 settled bets |
| dexproxy10xe743…e7d7 | No | 6 | 37.6¢ | $3 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.01K shares each side · Show
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