Market · 13 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 61 overlapping windows · 8 events · $7.24M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
16 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LucasMeow0x7f3c…5613 | No | 63,760 | 80.3¢ | $62.1K | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 208 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 52,809 | 95.4¢ | $51.4K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 39,963 | 93.7¢ | $38.9K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | No | 25,187 | 94.2¢ | $24.5K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 4,031 bets |
| baojuhua0x7bc7…3976 | No | 17,652 | 81.1¢ | $17.2K | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 108 bets |
| tjrick0x2158…fe65 | No | 10,759 | 77.9¢ | $10.5K | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 382 bets |
| disdatderedem0x1405…9db0 | No | 10,001 | 85.8¢ | $9.74K | New32 settled bets |
| ETHhedge0x9a1f…c925 | No | 6,668 | 93.0¢ | $6.49K | New0 settled bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 6,110 | 86.5¢ | $5.95K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 5,776 | 92.8¢ | $5.62K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 5,340 | 96.2¢ | $5.2K | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Crezes0x83d4…c67e | No | 4,892 | 81.8¢ | $4.76K | New2 settled bets |
| 0xf924…7545 | No | 4,729 | 92.2¢ | $4.6K | New11 settled bets |
| Jmn0xfdba…36c4 | No | 4,310 | 84.6¢ | $4.2K | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 356 bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 4,200 | 91.0¢ | $4.09K | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 4,185 | 84.6¢ | $4.07K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | 100,244 | 15.8¢ | $2.66K | New0 settled bets |
| MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES0x8a65…25ad | No | 2,500 | 78.0¢ | $2.43K | — |
| OnliFi0x07d4…f94f | No | 2,284 | 91.7¢ | $2.22K | New32 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 2,138 | 84.4¢ | $2.08K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 1,947 | 86.4¢ | $1.9K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| 0x94d0…4177 | Yes | 50,841 | 24.9¢ | $1.35K | — |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 1,313 | 83.3¢ | $1.28K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Mivindos0x763c…25b2 | No | 1,246 | 87.1¢ | $1.21K | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 3,888 bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 1,199 | 93.6¢ | $1.17K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| GeorgiaTripMoney0x95b1…4565 | No | 1,094 | 91.3¢ | $1.07K | — |
| 0x26b2…4486 | No | 1,000 | 77.7¢ | $974 | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 308 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 1,000 | 93.0¢ | $974 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| estateshomer0xca22…2ee7 | No | 950 | 82.0¢ | $925 | — |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | No | 927 | 76.7¢ | $903 | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 888 | 83.0¢ | $864 | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| Aragorn-II0xc9ad…79d0 | No | 805 | 76.1¢ | $784 | — |
| vicks0xb2cd…c187 | No | 796 | 94.0¢ | $775 | New76 settled bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 672 | 83.8¢ | $654 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| Matt-010x4427…ccf4 | No | 633 | 79.0¢ | $616 | New57 settled bets |
| 0x3988…3eef | No | 552 | 95.0¢ | $537 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x91da…abba | No | 520 | 82.8¢ | $506 | — |
| Odin.Valhal0xdd0d…17b6 | No | 476 | 74.0¢ | $464 | New79 settled bets |
| savvas50x59e2…9e84 | Yes | 16,704 | 22.0¢ | $443 | New4 settled bets |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | No | 400 | 86.5¢ | $389 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,885 bets |
| degenpunter0x66ca…0db6 | No | 400 | 95.9¢ | $389 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,608 bets |
| 0x0463b3c3b5b84709aaefc0xff01…73cc | No | 400 | 82.1¢ | $389 | — |
| justin.courtright0xbd5c…8408 | No | 389 | 88.0¢ | $378 | Proven+$6.22 per $100 · 218 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 360 | 97.3¢ | $350 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| Vitus-Stonks0x27fd…5464 | Yes | 12,552 | 24.0¢ | $333 | Positive+$1.94 per $100 · 219 bets |
| boid0xcc19…7d0f | No | 301 | 93.5¢ | $293 | — |
| ingeborgadapkunaite0xfdbd…9a73 | No | 300 | 98.0¢ | $292 | — |
| Puafaze0x7af6…776b | No | 300 | 97.6¢ | $292 | New26 settled bets |
| smallballninja0xc58c…e7b6 | No | 300 | 98.0¢ | $292 | New49 settled bets |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 295 | 90.7¢ | $287 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| Hype5890xc824…df08 | No | 267 | 75.0¢ | $260 | — |
| Maduroking0x9398…427c | No | 250 | 97.9¢ | $243 | — |
| Toljan0xff50…de6f | No | 233 | 89.3¢ | $227 | — |
| cryptoforever0x12d8…7359 | No | 215 | 95.8¢ | $209 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 186 bets |
| Cyclewin0xbc0a…35cd | Yes | 7,000 | 2.9¢ | $186 | New0 settled bets |
| mkb1230x8b98…537e | Yes | 6,778 | 18.0¢ | $180 | New17 settled bets |
| block60xe0a8…a9d3 | Yes | 3,913 | 12.5¢ | $104 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 269 bets |
| Okxfish0xd83b…58c6 | Yes | 3,481 | 13.5¢ | $92 | Proven+$7.53 per $100 · 255 bets |
| 03C0xbee4…25f7 | Yes | 2,887 | 14.0¢ | $76 | — |
| penapk0xb994…72d5 | Yes | 2,825 | 21.6¢ | $75 | — |
| daogov30x1b1c…5cca | Yes | 2,809 | 13.3¢ | $74 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 232 bets |
| delabs10x381d…73d3 | Yes | 2,771 | 13.2¢ | $73 | Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 259 bets |
| 0xcat20x67e1…ed97 | Yes | 2,593 | 14.6¢ | $69 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 178 bets |
| gamingboy40x0cc2…8fea | Yes | 2,555 | 13.6¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 216 bets |
| DREAMA90xbef7…8db8 | Yes | 2,442 | 13.5¢ | $65 | — |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 2,430 | 22.7¢ | $64 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| cha55u050x2753…6bc7 | Yes | 2,344 | 13.8¢ | $62 | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 262 bets |
| AODI100x7db6…16bb | Yes | 2,255 | 13.3¢ | $60 | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 187 bets |
| SixBruh0x8f50…426d | Yes | 2,251 | 13.7¢ | $60 | — |
| Number7isking0x2224…b7ca | Yes | 2,164 | 13.9¢ | $57 | Proven+$4.42 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Fish91190xc695…6438 | Yes | 2,158 | 13.8¢ | $57 | — |
| AkaFish0xcecd…e0cf | Yes | 2,103 | 14.5¢ | $56 | — |
| 0xbe8d…b980 | Yes | 2,067 | 13.2¢ | $55 | — |
| 18AGEMAN0xc8e6…ea76 | Yes | 2,062 | 14.1¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x150xd9b6…cc71 | Yes | 2,006 | 14.1¢ | $53 | — |
| sa17liya0xe977…ea6a | Yes | 1,992 | 14.2¢ | $53 | — |
| 001400x0a76…14c3 | Yes | 1,959 | 14.7¢ | $52 | Proven+$4.84 per $100 · 153 bets |
| t20fboys0x5817…17a2 | Yes | 1,952 | 12.3¢ | $52 | Proven+$3.44 per $100 · 167 bets |
| FourCz0xdab9…9741 | Yes | 1,948 | 15.4¢ | $52 | — |
| ai16zer0xf348…b19e | Yes | 1,905 | 13.9¢ | $50 | — |
| SATOSJO110x2b02…40f9 | Yes | 1,870 | 14.4¢ | $50 | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 192 bets |
| 21centure0x0ccd…686f | Yes | 1,807 | 13.9¢ | $48 | Proven+$4.26 per $100 · 158 bets |
| T22T0xd786…ce30 | Yes | 1,789 | 14.4¢ | $47 | — |
| ooboys120x7c21…5ac2 | Yes | 1,705 | 13.7¢ | $45 | Proven+$3.59 per $100 · 187 bets |
| 0x7x70xac71…c5c6 | Yes | 1,647 | 13.3¢ | $44 | — |
| wenzhui0xa02e…7e84 | Yes | 1,535 | 14.8¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xbaby13x0x9a6f…173a | Yes | 1,531 | 14.7¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xf65d…a17a | Yes | 1,516 | 14.9¢ | $40 | — |
| Taluse0x1343…bff4 | Yes | 1,499 | 15.1¢ | $40 | New97 settled bets |
| 9909bigwinner0xd571…d262 | Yes | 1,470 | 15.9¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 1,443 | 3.8¢ | $38 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| fenggepolvv0xfe50…720b | Yes | 1,304 | 14.0¢ | $35 | — |
| TomWee0x32b7…3c0f | Yes | 1,292 | 15.0¢ | $34 | New72 settled bets |
| Neita0x06f9…6ad4 | Yes | 1,273 | 15.2¢ | $34 | New83 settled bets |
| Kariazhang0xca55…8283 | Yes | 1,238 | 15.5¢ | $33 | — |
| Nataliyas0x8ec5…d72f | Yes | 1,234 | 15.8¢ | $33 | — |
| pollking0xabe8…04e0 | Yes | 1,228 | 14.6¢ | $33 | — |
| eiggorg0x257e…edde | Yes | 1,226 | 14.4¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.39 per $100 · 550 bets |
| 0xc559…a60b | Yes | 1,198 | 14.6¢ | $32 | — |
| Pokercat0x4432…8cd5 | Yes | 1,184 | 13.8¢ | $31 | New81 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.