Market · 18 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| disdatderedem0x1405…9db0 | No | 12,700 | 93.9¢ | $12.5K | New32 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 1,416 | 99.0¢ | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | No | 700 | 88.0¢ | $691 | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0x019e…af1d | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $494 | Losing−$7.84 per $100 · 479 bets |
| Jmn0xfdba…36c4 | No | 198 | 91.6¢ | $196 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0x94d0…4177 | Yes | 13,147 | 12.4¢ | $164 | — |
| keborgan0xa793…d077 | No | 102 | 98.5¢ | $100 | — |
| xvdb0x2985…b448 | No | 100 | 91.6¢ | $99 | — |
| suoshi0x45b4…17e2 | No | 100 | 96.4¢ | $99 | — |
| lemonmeo0x9553…deae | No | 100 | 91.6¢ | $99 | — |
| jiantie0xc585…357f | No | 100 | 98.2¢ | $99 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 95 | 97.9¢ | $94 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 23b48960x9262…93ad | No | 94 | 97.7¢ | $93 | — |
| 96552t0x6566…0ec4 | No | 73 | 99.1¢ | $72 | — |
| hohorga0xa654…ec03 | No | 71 | 98.2¢ | $71 | — |
| xingc0x5f3a…e5ec | No | 64 | 97.5¢ | $63 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 63 | 89.7¢ | $62 | — |
| 0086020x295b…d2bf | No | 59 | 97.6¢ | $58 | — |
| 70E3650x64d8…07ea | No | 55 | 97.6¢ | $54 | — |
| derguyg0xc83a…a783 | No | 54 | 97.6¢ | $54 | — |
| shutman10x122d…8170 | No | 54 | 98.7¢ | $53 | — |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 50 | 96.6¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 2,227 | 1.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 22 | 98.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| rttrsjxgf0xa370…dbcc | No | 18 | 97.5¢ | $18 | — |
| hkaby0x4733…520f | No | 17 | 97.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 5Fab30x2b53…3689 | No | 16 | 97.8¢ | $16 | — |
| erdfb0xf0c4…73ea | No | 15 | 97.5¢ | $15 | — |
| guojin0x3a4e…c418 | No | 15 | 98.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 55yyuu0x8656…7309 | No | 15 | 98.3¢ | $15 | — |
| hjqere0x63eb…cbc4 | No | 14 | 97.5¢ | $14 | — |
| VirtualRem0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | 1,000 | 8.5¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 111 bets |
| 66uuu0xd877…6bbc | No | 11 | 98.3¢ | $11 | — |
| yjsx1860xf09c…0de2 | No | 11 | 98.5¢ | $11 | — |
| gem4020x0917…e2d2 | No | 10 | 97.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 9689650x1903…d57f | No | 6 | 97.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x255d…f9c6 | No | 6 | 97.7¢ | $6 | — |
| hfsifn0x4dce…6cac | No | 3 | 97.7¢ | $3 | — |
| satoshiqwe0xb929…a263 | No | 3 | 96.6¢ | $3 | — |
| coolibin0x55c1…7db6 | Yes | 200 | 2.5¢ | $2 | — |
| pablo-plays-fifa0xb36d…7a97 | No | 1 | 97.5¢ | $1 | — |
| zwp0x539b…624c | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| muchode0x72ea…800a | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| barrettei0x751b…3af3 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 95 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 1 | 97.7¢ | $1 | — |
| age20th0x7903…4778 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| NNZ0x775b…201e | Yes | 40 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6b24…cf25 | Yes | 14 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd262…2199 | Yes | 12 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| waterx-0x870f…6da1 | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | — |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 5 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| chloe-mua.london0x9f2a…1756 | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd187…11ce | No | 0 | 92.5¢ | $0 | — |
| slowfox70xdd1a…c2c7 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| zeld90x0592…6c95 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| rustk0x22b0…f2ba | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| netigor0x23cc…f800 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| OmurReine0x3cbf…176e | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| softclay0x46b8…f784 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mox70x5164…fddc | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Ethereum price range · 59 overlapping windows · 6 events · $7.18M in play