Market · 1 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 1,033,146 | 57.4¢ | $542K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 691,664 | 34.3¢ | $329K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | Yes | 530,653 | 42.7¢ | $252K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 4,019 bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 410,579 | 75.4¢ | $216K | New22 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 171,399 | 46.2¢ | $81.4K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| VRVTeam0xe700…7005 | Yes | 20,000 | 28.0¢ | $9.5K | Positive+$20.63 per $100 · 101 bets |
| superbay22220x2de1…dbc5 | Yes | 14,968 | 42.3¢ | $7.11K | New72 settled bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 10,421 | 77.0¢ | $5.47K | New2 settled bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 5,000 | 34.0¢ | $2.38K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| JnStPrdctns0xa98a…3b92 | No | 4,201 | 71.0¢ | $2.21K | New4 settled bets |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | Yes | 3,235 | 46.0¢ | $1.54K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| awmERC0xcc2e…d96a | Yes | 2,373 | 47.7¢ | $1.13K | New12 settled bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 1,814 | 33.0¢ | $862 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| jasonxzp60x4a07…55d4 | Yes | 1,720 | 37.2¢ | $817 | Losing−$8.41 per $100 · 369 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 1,695 | 34.3¢ | $805 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 0xac44…f676 | Yes | 1,206 | 83.9¢ | $573 | New11 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 1,145 | 33.5¢ | $544 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| dhadad010xd8fa…5580 | Yes | 1,070 | 40.7¢ | $508 | Positive+$6.51 per $100 · 183 bets |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | Yes | 1,000 | 44.3¢ | $475 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| publicenemies0x6c3a…0d47 | Yes | 1,000 | 27.3¢ | $475 | New53 settled bets |
| vs3md0bra0x7152…b25b | Yes | 1,000 | 50.0¢ | $475 | Proven+$5.42 per $100 · 135 bets |
| kg7770x1683…1010 | Yes | 1,000 | 55.0¢ | $475 | New28 settled bets |
| terainaa0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | 900 | 27.1¢ | $428 | New14 settled bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | Yes | 800 | 42.1¢ | $380 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 694 | 46.5¢ | $365 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Yaroslav5850xa863…5d68 | Yes | 764 | 27.0¢ | $363 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x872e…e58f | Yes | 698 | 37.4¢ | $332 | Losing−$12.93 per $100 · 134 bets |
| dudelikemeow0xa8d6…4a00 | Yes | 610 | 37.3¢ | $290 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x2680…e1d9 | No | 473 | 68.7¢ | $249 | New16 settled bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 500 | 24.2¢ | $238 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 401 | 41.2¢ | $190 | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| maksuss0xa89d…52e1 | Yes | 397 | 24.7¢ | $189 | Proven+$3.48 per $100 · 308 bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | Yes | 305 | 55.7¢ | $145 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | 300 | 29.0¢ | $143 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| GuardianOfEth0xf6e7…2abf | Yes | 300 | 35.6¢ | $143 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x82e8…01ad | No | 250 | 77.7¢ | $131 | New7 settled bets |
| SnowRazer0x40c2…b2fc | Yes | 240 | 35.7¢ | $114 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 6,404 bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 230 | 24.2¢ | $109 | New36 settled bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 189 | 57.2¢ | $90 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| 0x9f07…a64e | No | 167 | 78.6¢ | $88 | New1 settled bet |
| ValdeMURRR0x4d2f…61ee | Yes | 184 | 61.7¢ | $88 | Losing−$8.62 per $100 · 352 bets |
| DUFAN0x7c8b…e4d4 | No | 159 | 64.6¢ | $83 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 205 bets |
| 0x065c…47de | Yes | 174 | 59.0¢ | $83 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 516 bets |
| irantrump0xc967…8744 | Yes | 169 | 60.7¢ | $81 | New9 settled bets |
| Clarencetsai0x8c04…2eae | Yes | 150 | 25.3¢ | $71 | New12 settled bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 129 | 68.1¢ | $68 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 1,858 bets |
| 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | 130 | 62.7¢ | $62 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 3,008 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 54.7¢ | $53 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| pink.impala0x9c97…4569 | Yes | 108 | 23.4¢ | $52 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 387 bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | 106 | 35.9¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 105 | 33.2¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| 0x2681…6943 | Yes | 100 | 22.0¢ | $47 | New8 settled bets |
| refuri0xdce7…f553 | Yes | 85 | 32.5¢ | $40 | Losing−$19.21 per $100 · 161 bets |
| krystallik0x6c47…658c | Yes | 81 | 26.6¢ | $38 | New38 settled bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | Yes | 80 | 27.2¢ | $38 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| 0x1ab1…bb62 | No | 66 | 77.3¢ | $35 | Proven+$19.97 per $100 · 790 bets |
| 0x374d…1263 | No | 66 | 77.3¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.29 per $100 · 230 bets |
| GG9990x0c74…8841 | Yes | 64 | 34.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$4.96 per $100 · 128 bets |
| 0x5629…f2a3 | Yes | 63 | 74.0¢ | $30 | New32 settled bets |
| ninetyfourpercent0x7573…af5e | Yes | 62 | 37.6¢ | $30 | New5 settled bets |
| iminmymomscarbroombroom0x2eae…8d29 | No | 53 | 76.1¢ | $28 | Losing−$25.58 per $100 · 350 bets |
| XMEN0030xa346…af38 | Yes | 53 | 31.5¢ | $25 | New66 settled bets |
| Unclestan0x5cf2…137b | No | 43 | 24.6¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.58 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0xc3f5…6e84 | No | 40 | 53.6¢ | $21 | New4 settled bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 40 | 56.7¢ | $19 | — |
| stack80x1614…fdc0 | No | 32 | 51.7¢ | $17 | New43 settled bets |
| andorrinobcn0x5593…fdbb | No | 24 | 42.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$11.46 per $100 · 149 bets |
| jinwujinshu0x06fb…9713 | No | 20 | 74.4¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 895 bets |
| chaimo0x4cf5…b9bc | No | 15 | 68.5¢ | $8 | New18 settled bets |
| troy840x14c0…ebdb | No | 14 | 63.0¢ | $7 | New85 settled bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 68.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 9 | 64.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| asdadzxcxx0x1790…315b | No | 8 | 67.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.99 per $100 · 1,222 bets |
| 0x68a2…7460 | No | 8 | 76.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 972 bets |
| 0x6639…6bcf | No | 8 | 76.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 902 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 8 | 53.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| 0x2137…e866 | No | 8 | 68.2¢ | $4 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x4488…8890 | No | 7 | 43.1¢ | $4 | New1 settled bet |
| 3rdmeta0xa281…571e | No | 7 | 73.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 3,194 bets |
| LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd...0x3e3d…5bdf | No | 5 | 52.7¢ | $3 | — |
| bn3li0x49b0…8f8b | No | 5 | 73.4¢ | $3 | New60 settled bets |
| gravity70x77c3…b45a | No | 5 | 67.6¢ | $3 | New21 settled bets |
| 0xaa92…b5cf | No | 5 | 67.6¢ | $2 | New9 settled bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 4 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| siddharthjain0x544b…62be | No | 4 | 51.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.41 per $100 · 431 bets |
| bigceohiko0x5b7b…5116 | No | 3 | 46.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$12.13 per $100 · 468 bets |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | No | 3 | 49.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x21d5…b6d5 | No | 3 | 51.7¢ | $2 | — |
| vespox0x1781…2352 | No | 3 | 49.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.05 per $100 · 1,002 bets |
| 0x7b91…1e97 | No | 3 | 42.9¢ | $1 | New44 settled bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 1 | 42.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 7858252550x44ce…8d56 | No | 0 | 58.7¢ | $0 | New88 settled bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | No | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 0xfaef…69c2 | No | 0 | 67.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.21 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| BristolBoy690x7409…40ce | No | 0 | 78.3¢ | $0 | New98 settled bets |
| romanew-cryp0xbd91…6262 | No | 0 | 36.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.04 per $100 · 3,574 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 78 shares each side · Show
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Ethereum price range · 59 overlapping windows · 6 events · $7.18M in play