Market · 3 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 397,571 | 70.5¢ | $306K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 87,586 | 85.6¢ | $67.4K | New22 settled bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 215,077 | 26.6¢ | $49.5K | Proven+$13.54 per $100 · 1,691 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 70,218 | 25.5¢ | $16.2K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | Yes | 58,125 | 35.9¢ | $13.4K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 4,031 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 49,347 | 18.0¢ | $11.3K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| VRVTeam0xe700…7005 | Yes | 20,000 | 14.5¢ | $4.6K | Positive+$20.63 per $100 · 101 bets |
| superbay22220x2de1…dbc5 | Yes | 16,360 | 16.2¢ | $3.76K | New72 settled bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 4,201 | 85.0¢ | $3.23K | New2 settled bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 10,021 | 50.7¢ | $2.3K | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| publicenemies0x6c3a…0d47 | Yes | 6,109 | 19.2¢ | $1.41K | New53 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 1,500 | 65.0¢ | $1.15K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| smolbrain0x0x243c…2240 | Yes | 5,000 | 17.1¢ | $1.15K | Proven+$8.24 per $100 · 293 bets |
| Justin6980x603a…fa61 | No | 1,400 | 82.6¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 461 bets |
| NERA0x9e9a…5d99 | Yes | 4,000 | 16.0¢ | $920 | Losing−$5.08 per $100 · 508 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 4,000 | 37.1¢ | $920 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| zoloto230xb3a5…3249 | Yes | 3,466 | 22.5¢ | $797 | New83 settled bets |
| Erka-RoadTo1M0x22e6…409f | Yes | 3,002 | 14.7¢ | $690 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 1,440 bets |
| 0xb72e…49e4 | Yes | 2,800 | 36.1¢ | $644 | New34 settled bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 2,756 | 19.1¢ | $634 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| awmERC0xcc2e…d96a | Yes | 2,586 | 41.3¢ | $595 | New12 settled bets |
| max1ved0x3c5d…7be1 | Yes | 2,194 | 22.8¢ | $505 | New21 settled bets |
| 0xac44…f676 | Yes | 2,041 | 56.8¢ | $470 | New11 settled bets |
| arishone0x88a1…a17b | Yes | 2,012 | 15.6¢ | $463 | Losing−$9.19 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| tonny190xf388…7f67 | Yes | 1,501 | 47.0¢ | $345 | New44 settled bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | Yes | 1,500 | 32.7¢ | $345 | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| Fatherinland0xb828…6703 | Yes | 1,106 | 18.8¢ | $254 | New28 settled bets |
| terainaa0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | 1,100 | 13.0¢ | $253 | New14 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,000 | 19.4¢ | $230 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | Yes | 952 | 23.3¢ | $219 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 238 | 72.9¢ | $183 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| jasonxzp60x4a07…55d4 | Yes | 757 | 21.1¢ | $174 | Losing−$8.41 per $100 · 369 bets |
| smarturn10x264b…cf7f | Yes | 656 | 18.0¢ | $151 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 310 bets |
| fasolon0x8208…afbb | Yes | 600 | 34.0¢ | $138 | New50 settled bets |
| airdrop10m0xdae7…ac2d | Yes | 546 | 32.0¢ | $125 | Losing−$3.10 per $100 · 230 bets |
| puoty0x9dba…9eba | Yes | 456 | 19.0¢ | $105 | New0 settled bets |
| pink.impala0x9c97…4569 | No | 119 | 81.9¢ | $92 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 387 bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 115 | 75.2¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,862 bets |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | Yes | 313 | 41.7¢ | $72 | New83 settled bets |
| veveveveve0xb0b3…9a28 | Yes | 307 | 23.3¢ | $71 | New2 settled bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | Yes | 272 | 25.0¢ | $63 | New36 settled bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | No | 69 | 76.5¢ | $53 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | 217 | 47.7¢ | $50 | Losing−$52.35 per $100 · 367 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | 200 | 15.0¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| led1470xa6ad…b2bb | Yes | 200 | 22.0¢ | $46 | Break-even−$1.00 per $100 · 558 bets |
| 0x1955…e6e8 | Yes | 165 | 35.6¢ | $38 | Losing−$13.94 per $100 · 845 bets |
| iagoWFLD0xa813…04fb | Yes | 163 | 52.7¢ | $38 | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 481 bets |
| sashafred0xab8e…d4d6 | Yes | 160 | 24.7¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 213 bets |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | Yes | 150 | 19.8¢ | $35 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| maxcrocs0xa7ab…18c2 | Yes | 140 | 22.8¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 256 bets |
| leopardnh0x966f…2ff6 | No | 41 | 78.2¢ | $32 | — |
| bgdogbit0xc111…a00c | Yes | 132 | 46.3¢ | $30 | New13 settled bets |
| Vikyy0xe37a…3192 | Yes | 130 | 15.9¢ | $30 | Proven+$6.15 per $100 · 177 bets |
| SnowRazer0x40c2…b2fc | Yes | 122 | 18.4¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 6,404 bets |
| krotpavel0xb718…2ec2 | Yes | 120 | 29.0¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 195 bets |
| 0x2680…e1d9 | No | 33 | 90.3¢ | $25 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x2a35…2263 | No | 32 | 69.5¢ | $25 | New12 settled bets |
| 1982e0x625f…e2c0 | Yes | 100 | 18.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$5.39 per $100 · 101 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 87 | 35.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | Yes | 86 | 42.3¢ | $20 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| maksuss0xa89d…52e1 | Yes | 84 | 15.9¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.48 per $100 · 308 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 84 | 13.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| mnmnnnjjn0x195d…1376 | No | 21 | 78.2¢ | $16 | — |
| jinwujinshu0x06fb…9713 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 895 bets |
| Vibejiji0x005e…7186 | No | 18 | 87.8¢ | $14 | New88 settled bets |
| 8dddj0x78cb…c94e | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 3,888 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 367 bets |
| 0x453c…39b5 | No | 10 | 83.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.28 per $100 · 642 bets |
| 0x4f04…4cd8 | No | 9 | 66.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.23 per $100 · 696 bets |
| nabbnn0x1444…6ce2 | No | 9 | 76.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 126 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | No | 9 | 57.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 3rdmeta0xa281…571e | No | 8 | 86.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 3,194 bets |
| gowad0x3371…8193 | No | 7 | 77.6¢ | $6 | — |
| lll981kd0x33c4…4ad5 | No | 6 | 81.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.22 per $100 · 3,971 bets |
| bn3li0x49b0…8f8b | No | 5 | 87.8¢ | $4 | New60 settled bets |
| 0x48d9…8943 | No | 5 | 67.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$15.91 per $100 · 632 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 4 | 55.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| 0xc3f5…6e84 | No | 4 | 77.0¢ | $3 | New4 settled bets |
| SayGoodbyeFireflies0x0dcd…9910 | No | 4 | 74.0¢ | $3 | New35 settled bets |
| 0x13c9…bb78 | No | 3 | 69.5¢ | $2 | New6 settled bets |
| MickyMauldib0x8b87…3e8d | No | 3 | 68.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 127 bets |
| 0x0bda…8da4 | No | 2 | 53.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.33 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0xa7ca…b5ee | No | 1 | 71.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$12.75 per $100 · 316 bets |
| siddharthjain0x544b…62be | No | 1 | 76.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.41 per $100 · 431 bets |
| 0x0745…4a1b | No | 1 | 88.7¢ | $1 | New98 settled bets |
| mumughj0x2861…e928 | No | 0 | 62.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.30 per $100 · 113 bets |
| Mimininimo0x3769…1e11 | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 103 bets |
| 0xfaef…69c2 | No | 0 | 83.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.21 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| 0x60f2…25d0 | No | 0 | 67.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.32 per $100 · 678 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Ethereum price range · 61 overlapping windows · 8 events · $7.24M in play