Market · 16 of 20 outcomes
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 12,481 | 96.4¢ | $12.2K | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 3,350 bets |
| lovedudley0xfe94…8a3d | No | 5,000 | 96.2¢ | $4.89K | Positive+$10.26 per $100 · 4,506 bets |
| Flatten96960xe073…18d9 | No | 4,306 | 97.9¢ | $4.22K | — |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 2,500 | 97.7¢ | $2.45K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| sunnyshine0504900x33d5…b25a | No | 1,788 | 97.2¢ | $1.75K | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 976 bets |
| Saimiri0xa81e…ae00 | No | 1,649 | 97.2¢ | $1.61K | — |
| beraguess0xea79…e4b5 | No | 1,005 | 96.9¢ | $984 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 202 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 849 | 98.2¢ | $831 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| 423540x85a6…92dd | No | 700 | 97.0¢ | $685 | — |
| smok1e0xb033…ae1d | No | 500 | 95.1¢ | $490 | — |
| hqb.prediction0x76ec…d630 | Yes | 23,036 | 5.5¢ | $484 | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 207 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 300 | 97.7¢ | $294 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| pennytrader0x0bab…9eb2 | No | 250 | 97.7¢ | $245 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 161 bets |
| EthanDeFi0x975a…359a | No | 233 | 97.7¢ | $228 | — |
| xlwang1110x23b3…5fbf | No | 205 | 97.6¢ | $201 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 214 bets |
| noonemax0xc72b…43e0 | No | 200 | 96.0¢ | $196 | — |
| cryptomilion0x8f39…6239 | No | 181 | 98.5¢ | $177 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 159 | 97.9¢ | $156 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | No | 148 | 94.4¢ | $145 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| HUNWB0x2e46…276f | No | 122 | 98.6¢ | $119 | — |
| thompsongerald0x75d0…d84f | No | 112 | 98.0¢ | $110 | New24 settled bets |
| Carlton90x577a…c0cd | No | 110 | 98.1¢ | $108 | New25 settled bets |
| peterskristopher0x523e…9425 | No | 101 | 98.2¢ | $99 | New33 settled bets |
| cake20410x7cf4…7fac | No | 100 | 98.5¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 183 bets |
| wangjia1230xa2be…185c | No | 98 | 98.6¢ | $96 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 86 | 90.0¢ | $84 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| meyersmary0x03f8…4a51 | No | 77 | 98.1¢ | $76 | New27 settled bets |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 76 | 94.7¢ | $75 | Losing−$5.43 per $100 · 5,932 bets |
| 9999580x0b13…334d | No | 73 | 97.7¢ | $71 | New27 settled bets |
| sellersbecky0x0ec5…ca9e | No | 72 | 98.6¢ | $70 | — |
| BNHB10xb202…c276 | No | 71 | 98.4¢ | $70 | — |
| dimitriapprado0x9ef9…2052 | Yes | 3,255 | 2.3¢ | $68 | — |
| sotusikai2zzs0xc9fa…cf77 | No | 61 | 98.0¢ | $60 | — |
| alison950xbdd6…fa72 | No | 55 | 97.9¢ | $54 | — |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 52 | 96.8¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,862 bets |
| goodifchain0xad80…c019 | No | 51 | 98.6¢ | $50 | — |
| biomen0x6024…bf2c | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $49 | Positive+$1.69 per $100 · 160 bets |
| nathan270xb634…9ed6 | No | 48 | 98.3¢ | $47 | — |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | No | 48 | 94.3¢ | $47 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| hortonsteven0x4fc0…e8e1 | No | 45 | 98.6¢ | $44 | — |
| pattontimothy0x425d…4819 | No | 44 | 98.7¢ | $43 | — |
| lee050x8b4a…22c3 | No | 44 | 97.8¢ | $43 | — |
| joyce130x5f6f…374f | No | 43 | 97.5¢ | $42 | New31 settled bets |
| ericdalton0xac88…ec57 | No | 43 | 98.5¢ | $42 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 1,888 | 1.7¢ | $40 | — |
| jaredmoore0x67f5…f0be | No | 40 | 98.1¢ | $39 | New31 settled bets |
| cashmusk0xdf4a…1b1b | No | 40 | 96.9¢ | $39 | — |
| alvarezsamuel0xe12c…4d86 | No | 38 | 98.6¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 1,720 | 2.8¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,515 bets |
| wesleywilliamson0xd794…d268 | No | 36 | 98.0¢ | $36 | — |
| kocmikdjfm0xd204…62e8 | No | 35 | 97.6¢ | $34 | — |
| choosename0x957a…c0f7 | No | 30 | 97.7¢ | $29 | — |
| Tsubasa0xcfde…4006 | No | 30 | 97.3¢ | $29 | — |
| dayset0xf542…32ee | No | 30 | 98.1¢ | $29 | — |
| 1982e0x625f…e2c0 | Yes | 1,350 | 2.4¢ | $28 | Positive+$5.39 per $100 · 101 bets |
| kroko0xf8cc…028a | Yes | 869 | 2.3¢ | $18 | Positive+$45.56 per $100 · 6,989 bets |
| AXIOSinsider0x3d0b…f522 | Yes | 753 | 2.8¢ | $16 | New58 settled bets |
| cyfra0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | 479 | 2.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 2,756 bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | Yes | 432 | 1.5¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| ganggang7770x561c…730c | Yes | 403 | 3.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$44.70 per $100 · 122 bets |
| doc.holliday0x6239…c6b4 | Yes | 380 | 2.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$24.75 per $100 · 2,535 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 193 | 6.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Redlazer0x9a44…d282 | Yes | 166 | 2.1¢ | $3 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 33 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 25 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 16 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| DerrickMao0x8e55…cb49 | Yes | 10 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Ethereum price range · 61 overlapping windows · 8 events · $7.3M in play