Market · 7 of 22 outcomes
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
Ethereum price range · 59 overlapping windows · 6 events · $7.18M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts0x1465…7072 | No | 775,581 | 62.7¢ | $715K | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xDCCrane0x3d1c…e45c | No | 34,364 | 93.4¢ | $31.7K | New22 settled bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 300,678 | 40.0¢ | $23.6K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| monethaa0x8ba7…fbaa | No | 20,000 | 48.6¢ | $18.4K | New24 settled bets |
| LP-LosPepes0xbcb0…70e6 | No | 9,036 | 68.2¢ | $8.33K | New28 settled bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 8,597 | 92.6¢ | $7.92K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 7,742 | 43.6¢ | $7.13K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| completion0xfeb5…a393 | No | 7,048 | 71.6¢ | $6.49K | Proven+$7.18 per $100 · 4,391 bets |
| pleasegodletmewin0xbb65…571c | No | 6,114 | 33.5¢ | $5.63K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 166 bets |
| ETHhedge0x9a1f…c925 | Yes | 71,409 | 33.4¢ | $5.61K | New0 settled bets |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 69,852 | 10.2¢ | $5.48K | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| drip00x7479…fbec | No | 4,258 | 26.6¢ | $3.92K | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 369 bets |
| JaneStPredictions0xb57e…16c1 | No | 4,201 | 93.3¢ | $3.87K | New2 settled bets |
| Shminni0x602d…b193 | No | 3,806 | 38.8¢ | $3.51K | New37 settled bets |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 3,586 | 67.2¢ | $3.3K | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 3,479 | 85.9¢ | $3.21K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0xc553…07f3 | No | 3,000 | 55.0¢ | $2.76K | New52 settled bets |
| sssxx0x60bf…15aa | Yes | 33,919 | 46.3¢ | $2.66K | New27 settled bets |
| Cyclewin0xbc0a…35cd | Yes | 32,117 | 7.9¢ | $2.52K | New0 settled bets |
| ask150xad1f…6c61 | Yes | 31,141 | 54.6¢ | $2.44K | Losing−$16.45 per $100 · 618 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 29,702 | 20.4¢ | $2.33K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| mountmckinley0xc19f…9d86 | No | 2,354 | 85.9¢ | $2.17K | New21 settled bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 27,447 | 11.3¢ | $2.15K | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 2,220 | 72.4¢ | $2.05K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,954 bets |
| yuanhang0x35f2…71a3 | Yes | 24,622 | 43.1¢ | $1.93K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 500 bets |
| Albert 19530x777f…a1bb | Yes | 24,613 | 15.2¢ | $1.93K | Proven+$10.47 per $100 · 4,356 bets |
| FancyBustling0xa205…c6c6 | No | 2,000 | 22.3¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$31.70 per $100 · 157 bets |
| nooooonm370xa881…cd20 | No | 1,960 | 35.3¢ | $1.81K | New91 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 1,908 | 59.4¢ | $1.76K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 1,876 | 70.8¢ | $1.73K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 20,016 | 36.6¢ | $1.57K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,680 | 57.6¢ | $1.55K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| srmiiie0xbca5…8727 | Yes | 18,775 | 19.3¢ | $1.47K | Losing−$55.78 per $100 · 173 bets |
| 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | 18,212 | 11.1¢ | $1.43K | New0 settled bets |
| z1810x7c46…ddac | Yes | 15,355 | 39.4¢ | $1.21K | New8 settled bets |
| weaksweak0x04f8…a547 | Yes | 12,308 | 63.6¢ | $966 | New30 settled bets |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | No | 1,019 | 50.6¢ | $939 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,885 bets |
| 0x4be7…1115 | Yes | 11,832 | 13.3¢ | $929 | New29 settled bets |
| DrA11c0m30x5f57…fd0e | No | 1,000 | 52.0¢ | $921 | New39 settled bets |
| allback0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | 9,518 | 74.4¢ | $747 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 260 bets |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 738 | 40.0¢ | $680 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 8,531 | 20.6¢ | $670 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| jogoloko20x9861…70a7 | Yes | 8,429 | 30.8¢ | $662 | New13 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 700 | 86.8¢ | $645 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| QlarqueHark50x8e32…962d | No | 652 | 33.0¢ | $600 | New0 settled bets |
| clauo0xcf6d…fb0c | Yes | 7,628 | 6.8¢ | $599 | New8 settled bets |
| PontiusPilate0x7300…e52c | No | 619 | 11.3¢ | $570 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 18,019 bets |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu0x6c7d…d6eb | No | 600 | 28.5¢ | $553 | Proven+$13.98 per $100 · 1,806 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 600 | 56.8¢ | $553 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 6,674 | 12.5¢ | $524 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| 39900xecef…30ae | No | 556 | 72.0¢ | $512 | New24 settled bets |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | No | 534 | 46.0¢ | $493 | Proven+$3.12 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| Yang-H0x7961…1b1c | No | 500 | 61.7¢ | $461 | New66 settled bets |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 500 | 88.6¢ | $461 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| yyyyz0x2a97…1f4b | Yes | 5,427 | 43.7¢ | $426 | New78 settled bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 5,354 | 7.6¢ | $420 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xa894…53da | Yes | 5,319 | 89.1¢ | $418 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 435 | 86.9¢ | $401 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| kevin-airdrop0x3e27…9890 | No | 400 | 66.0¢ | $369 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 1,214 bets |
| onekey-2026-pro0xea01…0abf | No | 400 | 84.7¢ | $369 | New4 settled bets |
| vacoolaaa0x464e…1a67 | No | 400 | 26.0¢ | $369 | Losing−$3.60 per $100 · 218 bets |
| Hustle00010x2a62…5f5d | Yes | 4,459 | 49.0¢ | $350 | New2 settled bets |
| getbipped0x252d…c456 | Yes | 4,340 | 7.1¢ | $341 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 4,019 bets |
| Moon.H0x4751…e334 | Yes | 4,314 | 5.7¢ | $339 | New77 settled bets |
| zoloto230xb3a5…3249 | Yes | 4,258 | 13.7¢ | $334 | New83 settled bets |
| shortcrypto140xe58c…942a | Yes | 4,252 | 40.9¢ | $334 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x9135…fd1f | Yes | 4,134 | 14.9¢ | $325 | New4 settled bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 319 | 47.0¢ | $294 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| 0xdeb7…d38a | No | 313 | 32.0¢ | $288 | New7 settled bets |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 309 | 92.6¢ | $285 | Losing−$5.44 per $100 · 4,988 bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 303 | 33.8¢ | $279 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| maybeno2760xd1ba…8737 | No | 300 | 88.4¢ | $276 | New69 settled bets |
| AlexeyyFTW0x494e…565e | No | 300 | 93.5¢ | $276 | New26 settled bets |
| breakbroke0x9fcb…bf3d | No | 300 | 93.4¢ | $276 | New32 settled bets |
| Puafaze0x7af6…776b | No | 300 | 93.2¢ | $276 | New26 settled bets |
| smallballninja0xc58c…e7b6 | No | 300 | 93.8¢ | $276 | New49 settled bets |
| hfrias0x2c6a…5074 | No | 287 | 54.1¢ | $264 | New6 settled bets |
| ijae0xf366…15ad | No | 286 | 79.2¢ | $264 | Losing−$15.13 per $100 · 281 bets |
| naishz0r0xb891…e65a | No | 286 | 70.0¢ | $263 | New61 settled bets |
| person.0x27f7…063e | No | 270 | 37.0¢ | $249 | New97 settled bets |
| superbay22220x2de1…dbc5 | Yes | 3,103 | 17.1¢ | $244 | New72 settled bets |
| onthewave0xc302…f388 | Yes | 2,953 | 7.2¢ | $232 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
| 0x5921…9b66 | Yes | 2,511 | 33.1¢ | $197 | New4 settled bets |
| awmERC0xcc2e…d96a | Yes | 2,498 | 39.6¢ | $196 | New12 settled bets |
| Yaroslav5850xa863…5d68 | Yes | 2,479 | 27.6¢ | $195 | New0 settled bets |
| Erka-RoadTo1M0x22e6…409f | Yes | 2,462 | 58.3¢ | $193 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 1,440 bets |
| cha55u050x2753…6bc7 | Yes | 2,306 | 25.4¢ | $181 | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 262 bets |
| cxpjysokx0x6e65…2fb3 | Yes | 2,166 | 63.4¢ | $170 | New8 settled bets |
| LuckBoy280x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | 2,113 | 52.7¢ | $166 | Losing−$14.02 per $100 · 127 bets |
| e10v0xbf90…f89c | Yes | 2,000 | 38.0¢ | $157 | New41 settled bets |
| Okxfish0xd83b…58c6 | Yes | 1,685 | 31.4¢ | $132 | Proven+$7.53 per $100 · 255 bets |
| gamingboy40x0cc2…8fea | Yes | 1,653 | 33.6¢ | $130 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 216 bets |
| delabs10x381d…73d3 | Yes | 1,506 | 33.8¢ | $118 | Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 259 bets |
| daogov30x1b1c…5cca | Yes | 1,458 | 35.6¢ | $114 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 232 bets |
| block60xe0a8…a9d3 | Yes | 1,402 | 42.4¢ | $110 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 269 bets |
| 0x1464…3fb7 | Yes | 1,325 | 11.6¢ | $104 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 268 bets |
| eqweqweew0x3e65…079d | Yes | 1,300 | 15.3¢ | $102 | New0 settled bets |
| coulou780xfdfe…fee3 | Yes | 1,234 | 47.8¢ | $97 | New0 settled bets |
| AkaFish0xcecd…e0cf | Yes | 1,229 | 40.4¢ | $96 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.