Market · 19 of 23 outcomes
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 2,855 | 94.2¢ | $2.77K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 406 bets |
| Hellboy-winner0x6045…7304 | No | 173 | 93.8¢ | $168 | — |
| 0xd8c2…105e | No | 62 | 95.3¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x45d3…eda0 | No | 20 | 93.2¢ | $19 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 642 | 5.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 5.7¢ | $18 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 550 | 5.7¢ | $17 | — |
| thread0xd741…757f | Yes | 438 | 3.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Binarap0x2f93…7fa6 | No | 11 | 93.2¢ | $10 | — |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | No | 10 | 96.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 299 | 2.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 183 | 5.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 91 | 7.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 93.8¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 50 | 2.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 50 | 2.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 42 | 4.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 4,720 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 30 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xb443…1090 | No | 1 | 93.4¢ | $1 | — |
| scalingrewards0x3c18…32c3 | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 18 | 6.8¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 9 | 11.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 8 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 4 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.