Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 147 | 99.4¢ | $146 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 84 | 99.7¢ | $84 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 99.8¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 99.7¢ | $38 | — |
| 50cents0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | 3,415 | 0.7¢ | $24 | — |
| earthStones0xc15c…6549 | Yes | 3,264 | 6.4¢ | $23 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 2,166 | 0.2¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,500 | 0.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 1,231 | 0.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $9 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 1,213 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| 0xdcfe…b7d3 | Yes | 1,189 | 0.3¢ | $8 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,071 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 7 | 98.6¢ | $7 | — |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | No | 6 | 97.0¢ | $6 | — |
| marucho760x8bc2…fae1 | Yes | 711 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | Yes | 707 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9afd…c377 | Yes | 700 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2dae…067a | Yes | 631 | 7.8¢ | $4 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 490 | 4.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 482 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 463 | 4.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 2 | 92.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 264 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 261 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Casadepapel0x2ae2…8b8f | Yes | 224 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 187 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| IntoDarkness7790x3d3c…630b | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 148 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 94 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 75 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 73 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 64 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 60 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 38 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| siffy0xb7c7…b3bb | Yes | 29 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd5d4…61e8 | Yes | 27 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 23 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,395 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x2cAd7b0x2cad…ab42 | Yes | 12 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x6528…2006 | Yes | 3 | 0.2¢ | $0 | New1 settled bet |
| MoneyShkreli0x32eb…a86e | Yes | 2 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| FreshNewBeginning0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | 2 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xadb5…e421 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 0 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 0 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.