Market · 50 of 71 outcomes
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 07:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 600 | 95.2¢ | $581 | — |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 262 | 93.0¢ | $254 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Rioscariofa0x0fc1…a8ac | No | 108 | 93.0¢ | $104 | — |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | No | 100 | 96.1¢ | $97 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 75 | 94.0¢ | $73 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| 0x9563…d7be | No | 59 | 91.8¢ | $57 | — |
| gigidemon0x8dbb…edc4 | No | 54 | 93.0¢ | $52 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 41 | 95.0¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 40 | 90.0¢ | $39 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,064 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 21 | 96.3¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,062 bets |
| Hoopcanada0xcbb5…ecee | No | 15 | 90.0¢ | $15 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 391 | 6.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| 0xba68…18a6 | No | 11 | 92.0¢ | $11 | — |
| XarKhorne0xc7d6…8704 | No | 11 | 92.0¢ | $10 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 200 | 5.2¢ | $6 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 6 | 95.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 170 | 5.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| MikeHawk690x39ef…c774 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | — |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 4 | 93.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 113 | 14.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,561+ bets · updating |
| Zandgar0x2507…fbc9 | Yes | 110 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| arbs810x1bc6…0744 | Yes | 88 | 1.4¢ | $3 | — |
| tobytso0x553d…c974 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 16.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 100,545 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 29 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 26 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.37 per $100 · 113,391 bets |
| 0xf004…adaf | Yes | 18 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x61c7…ceee | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ZakazDostavlen0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | 13 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$31.79 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 11 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 359 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 1 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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