Market · 56 of 71 outcomes
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 05:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 1,000 | 90.6¢ | $975 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,131 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $20 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | No | 18 | 89.5¢ | $17 | — |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $10 | — |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 9 | 84.9¢ | $9 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 199 | 6.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 145 | 8.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 99 | 7.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 73 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 47 | 8.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xe2db…abfd | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 42 | 6.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,377 bets |
| 0x81b6…1127 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xae32…62a0 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf7d1…fb55 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0dd9…549f | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x41f7…e81b | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4d7e…c411 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6d22…85c0 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 131,953 bets |
| 0x8d74…854d | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x94d5…a536 | Yes | 20 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0x8bfe…a1f2 | Yes | 19 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 19 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 19 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| ciktan0x997c…398e | Yes | 18 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0e86…8587 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1030…4f4a | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x348d…4b7c | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbbde…ada5 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbc39…8444 | Yes | 16 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Co-Co0x2a01…8c4d | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…8ca4 | Yes | 9 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| prjjfb340xfd99…b908 | Yes | 6 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 6.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 28.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| knottie0x830f…5dd4 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.