Market · 2 of 16 outcomes
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 9,977 | 21.5¢ | $9.94K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,392 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 2,907 | 8.5¢ | $2.9K | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | No | 2,381 | 22.0¢ | $2.37K | New40 settled bets |
| MSFTQQQ0x475d…7fb8 | No | 2,000 | 93.1¢ | $1.99K | — |
| fabres050xdb26…0ff7 | No | 1,750 | 31.6¢ | $1.74K | — |
| YYV0x56d1…17c4 | No | 917 | 27.6¢ | $913 | — |
| GuailanKia0x8f0b…eb6d | No | 711 | 20.8¢ | $708 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 608 | 94.1¢ | $606 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| BeginnersLuck20x8817…cda8 | No | 479 | 96.3¢ | $478 | — |
| bacs20000xd886…5b12 | No | 360 | 92.0¢ | $359 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 235 | 4.7¢ | $234 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x136b…b79d | No | 189 | 5.2¢ | $188 | — |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | No | 170 | 23.2¢ | $170 | Positive+$4.99 per $100 · 1,435 bets |
| 0x347d…098a | No | 165 | 91.0¢ | $164 | — |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 162 | 6.4¢ | $161 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 157 | 26.0¢ | $157 | — |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | No | 140 | 6.4¢ | $139 | — |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 100 | 22.8¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 90 | 11.4¢ | $90 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 76 | 99.2¢ | $76 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 0x7d8e…6d79 | No | 60 | 24.1¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x08ef…e466 | No | 57 | 17.8¢ | $56 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 1,174 bets |
| u289260xe682…a082 | No | 55 | 90.8¢ | $55 | Positive+$1.00 per $100 · 430 bets |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | No | 53 | 94.2¢ | $53 | — |
| ProrokDanilo0x6b99…246b | No | 50 | 20.0¢ | $50 | — |
| aldtrader0x2b50…8f3f | Yes | 11,256 | 7.3¢ | $45 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x2d48…678c | No | 39 | 13.0¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xb010…efbd | Yes | 9,662 | 5.4¢ | $39 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 9,091 | 82.1¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| YotamF0x4725…ba00 | No | 32 | 6.2¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 349 bets |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | No | 24 | 12.5¢ | $24 | — |
| BIGMONEYGAMBLER0x08aa…f1f0 | No | 23 | 22.0¢ | $23 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 5,635 | 96.3¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | 5,223 | 84.6¢ | $21 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 21 | 99.2¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 20 | 5.1¢ | $20 | — |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 5,032 | 11.6¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | No | 20 | 91.8¢ | $20 | New34 settled bets |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | No | 18 | 8.8¢ | $18 | — |
| achio0xb0c3…0b92 | No | 17 | 6.1¢ | $17 | — |
| forg0tten0x186a…e382 | No | 15 | 97.7¢ | $15 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 14 | 92.7¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | No | 14 | 7.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| lesliepeters0xb63d…8ee8 | No | 12 | 29.6¢ | $12 | — |
| tradesandraids0x05eb…441b | Yes | 2,990 | 81.0¢ | $12 | — |
| RideTheWav30xf203…8a41 | No | 12 | 91.7¢ | $12 | — |
| yieldmaxxing0x15f8…ed46 | Yes | 2,873 | 77.1¢ | $11 | — |
| RichieGolden0x14ef…18b7 | No | 11 | 18.6¢ | $11 | — |
| gynsu0xa306…1417 | No | 11 | 19.5¢ | $11 | — |
| goldisoverrated0x1617…d790 | No | 11 | 19.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 3,861 bets |
| fd43gsfg0x4754…1210 | No | 10 | 90.6¢ | $10 | New24 settled bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 90.6¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 27.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 83.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | No | 10 | 91.6¢ | $10 | — |
| shurik-g590xe0f9…a9db | No | 9 | 32.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 9 | 91.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 2,024 | 81.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 1,565 | 89.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| bmraposo0xa470…616b | Yes | 1,454 | 79.9¢ | $6 | — |
| zzzzzzzzz110x3767…5e7c | Yes | 1,405 | 7.5¢ | $6 | — |
| everrisetrader0x08ff…32eb | Yes | 1,375 | 5.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb1f0…69b3 | Yes | 1,333 | 11.6¢ | $5 | — |
| John16990x748d…26e2 | Yes | 1,231 | 81.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | Yes | 1,208 | 77.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$4.03 per $100 · 4,384 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,205 | 23.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,141 | 3.6¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,044 | 79.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| 77777s4il0r0x7cc7…6c9a | Yes | 859 | 75.3¢ | $3 | — |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 611 | 91.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 785 bets |
| 0x8647…d870 | Yes | 600 | 84.4¢ | $2 | — |
| X108X0xdcab…6289 | Yes | 561 | 8.6¢ | $2 | New0 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 542 | 7.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 530 | 91.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| gerinftw0x8cc2…d305 | Yes | 483 | 83.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 433 | 80.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| mamboNB50x1c00…7af4 | Yes | 423 | 15.8¢ | $2 | — |
| eratoxtenex0x0b65…013e | Yes | 300 | 90.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 845 bets |
| 0xecd1…4c52 | Yes | 300 | 80.1¢ | $1 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 274 | 53.5¢ | $1 | — |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | Yes | 263 | 96.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 888888010x3de3…e68e | Yes | 255 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| xdxd880x90a2…be58 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 250 | 60.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| NightOwlX0x9523…56e0 | Yes | 240 | 31.3¢ | $1 | — |
| zlSobrinho0x2175…4b33 | Yes | 228 | 49.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 226 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| becket330x7e0f…4f3a | Yes | 209 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | Yes | 200 | 96.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 4,600 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 200 | 89.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.01 per $100 · 5,266 bets |
| Jjw0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | 189 | 95.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,249 bets |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 165 | 69.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 161 | 9.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Zequedez0xfa72…d0cf | Yes | 159 | 31.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x05ae…5323 | Yes | 157 | 38.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 130 | 83.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 121 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| DFC0x21a4…0b9e | Yes | 121 | 83.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ronyszuster0x6a2b…f498 | Yes | 116 | 31.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.