Market · 2 of 27 outcomes
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 27 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 400 | 85.0¢ | $397 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 246 | 66.6¢ | $245 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | No | 230 | 73.1¢ | $229 | — |
| Polymaker120x030e…20eb | No | 49 | 62.7¢ | $48 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 18 | 51.7¢ | $17 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| IGBGMN0x733d…1ae7 | Yes | 2,238 | 49.3¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 83.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 8 | 88.1¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| gilbert0030x9aa7…dd91 | No | 8 | 44.6¢ | $8 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 1,154 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xd660…e8d9 | No | 8 | 60.8¢ | $7 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 5 | 89.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 65sfds0x783e…5a19 | No | 5 | 76.1¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 5 | 47.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4483…c565 | Yes | 653 | 42.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.03 per $100 · 1,460 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 2 | 52.6¢ | $2 | — |
| ChuDebbieSharp0x8a80…c54c | Yes | 234 | 37.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 148 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 139 | 15.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 99 | 19.4¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 96 | 11.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| loyaltoyal0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | 92 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PirateKings0x9cd2…b56f | No | 1 | 51.7¢ | $1 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 78 | 36.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| Santale-Tambre0xa582…8ec0 | Yes | 77 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| jach310x413d…0db8 | Yes | 75 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,222 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 70 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| hectorng170xc32a…1bf7 | Yes | 59 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 58 | 0.8¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 50.4¢ | $0 | — |
| shiifoo0x30f6…004f | Yes | 50 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.80 per $100 · 22,290 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 36 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 0 | 70.4¢ | $0 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 85,829 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| kksliding0x7d6d…c063 | Yes | 25 | 35.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pengu1n0x8dd8…9a1c | Yes | 22 | 37.2¢ | $0 | — |
| quilthat0xf220…ed17 | Yes | 21 | 37.2¢ | $0 | — |
| banepir0x6b90…2194 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 16 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0812…5f92 | Yes | 16 | 12.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 15 | 39.1¢ | $0 | — |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 12 | 34.6¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 11 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 9 | 18.9¢ | $0 | — |
| edge990x8d00…0121 | Yes | 9 | 37.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 7 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| p3eFbv0H3b0x0603…8f62 | Yes | 7 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 6 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 5 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,638 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | Yes | 5 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 0 | 83.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| martinsugar0x0110…af5d | Yes | 2 | 45.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5491…a8f5 | Yes | 2 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| philk530xd43c…8c63 | Yes | 2 | 53.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sgtmike0x839f…d3f5 | No | 0 | 51.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.62 per $100 · 13,727 bets |
| Margo0780x82fb…bed6 | No | 0 | 68.8¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 1 | 18.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | Yes | 1 | 16.2¢ | $0 | — |
| smlptm0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | 1 | 37.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 55sfds0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | 0 | 19.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 20.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| goodluck810x46ee…eb1e | Yes | 0 | 22.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 433 bets |
| banestow0x3080…337b | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| barlsheadback0xca54…79a2 | Yes | 0 | 30.5¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 0 | 34.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.