Dr. Luizinho

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves according to the candidate who wins the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election.§2

Runoff

A runoff is held October 25, 2026 if no candidate gets a majority of valid first-round votes.§1

Temporary governors

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed before the election are not considered.§3

Result unknown

If the result isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§4

Ambiguity

If ambiguous, the market resolves based solely on official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the TSE.§6

Counted

The candidate who wins the election; temporary, interim, or placeholder governors are not counted.§2

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, official results reported by the Brazilian government's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).§5

Closes

Oct 5, 2026 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.