Market · 5 of 27 outcomes
Will Drew Rasmussen win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 27 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | No | 5 | 100.0¢ | $5 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 1,125 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 766 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 422 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 394 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 5,875 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 297 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 192 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| loyaltoyal0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| illfigurethisoutlater0xe8cd…b264 | Yes | 139 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 116 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| shiifoo0x30f6…004f | Yes | 100 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.80 per $100 · 22,290 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 80 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| 0x5491…a8f5 | Yes | 60 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 60 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 50 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,638 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 50 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 40 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 25 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| 0x5e66…1532 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 16 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 15 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| iiixor0x6685…c73b | Yes | 14 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 14 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,558 bets |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 5 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| ElonButler0x83f5…4ae3 | Yes | 5 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| egrsafvafvaer0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,974 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.