Market · 1 of 16 outcomes
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 10,709 | 93.5¢ | $10.6K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| fabres050xdb26…0ff7 | Yes | 6,852 | 26.3¢ | $6.76K | — |
| Predictandbreathe0x2707…0afa | Yes | 6,345 | 18.0¢ | $6.26K | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 3,219 bets |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | Yes | 6,342 | 95.3¢ | $6.26K | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 376 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 4,241 | 22.1¢ | $4.19K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,390 bets |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | Yes | 3,496 | 20.7¢ | $3.45K | New40 settled bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 3,230 | 98.2¢ | $3.19K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| aristolino0x0759…d6c7 | Yes | 2,871 | 17.8¢ | $2.83K | — |
| -wraith-0x238d…70d8 | Yes | 2,000 | 98.0¢ | $1.97K | — |
| 0x7d8e…6d79 | Yes | 1,433 | 4.9¢ | $1.41K | — |
| OswaldMcFurther0xd79a…7e51 | Yes | 1,264 | 84.1¢ | $1.25K | New72 settled bets |
| MSFTQQQ0x475d…7fb8 | Yes | 1,231 | 92.8¢ | $1.22K | — |
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 1,214 | 94.1¢ | $1.2K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 471 bets |
| Seeking-Alpha010x0a9c…d552 | Yes | 1,197 | 93.4¢ | $1.18K | — |
| ChrisZyy-Real0x2481…9b79 | Yes | 1,111 | 98.1¢ | $1.1K | New59 settled bets |
| SuperavitFiscal0xeb49…693e | Yes | 1,008 | 96.3¢ | $995 | Losing−$5.42 per $100 · 344 bets |
| thekingsback0xde4b…1222 | Yes | 1,000 | 20.0¢ | $987 | — |
| BeginnersLuck20x8817…cda8 | Yes | 991 | 97.3¢ | $978 | — |
| BoredViking0xc3c3…c5c5 | Yes | 966 | 95.6¢ | $953 | — |
| Gabrielborne0xffa0…cd4a | Yes | 613 | 6.6¢ | $605 | — |
| z13cc0x8bfc…659a | Yes | 606 | 99.0¢ | $598 | — |
| tame990xd80c…d40c | Yes | 584 | 25.3¢ | $577 | — |
| Satnad21080xb6d4…d4fd | Yes | 559 | 18.3¢ | $551 | — |
| 0x35d4…f15b | Yes | 506 | 19.2¢ | $499 | New35 settled bets |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | 471 | 71.2¢ | $464 | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| SATNAD210xd3e9…28f3 | Yes | 459 | 16.0¢ | $453 | — |
| pagliacci40x9b55…1167 | Yes | 451 | 92.0¢ | $445 | — |
| 0f7l492ysa4r30xd15d…7832 | Yes | 374 | 98.7¢ | $370 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 369 | 92.0¢ | $364 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| bacs20000xd886…5b12 | Yes | 362 | 91.4¢ | $358 | — |
| LudwigVonMises0xc432…0fc9 | Yes | 326 | 9.7¢ | $322 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 320 | 4.4¢ | $316 | Positive+$5.89 per $100 · 53,017+ bets · updating |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 302 | 5.7¢ | $298 | — |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | Yes | 264 | 15.9¢ | $260 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 4,295 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 258 | 1.0¢ | $254 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| alpha.chen0xe11a…c40b | Yes | 245 | 85.7¢ | $242 | — |
| 0xf730…42cd | Yes | 241 | 98.7¢ | $238 | — |
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | Yes | 235 | 99.5¢ | $232 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| PastorTupirani0xc2db…0cf3 | Yes | 219 | 98.1¢ | $216 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 200 | 61.9¢ | $198 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| 0x136b…b79d | Yes | 183 | 4.8¢ | $180 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 155 | 2.3¢ | $153 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| hungary12340x1877…60ad | Yes | 154 | 98.8¢ | $152 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 146 | 7.7¢ | $144 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| Nicolasro910x671c…e261 | Yes | 142 | 29.0¢ | $140 | — |
| lexet0xbec4…b075 | Yes | 116 | 86.4¢ | $115 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 110 | 4.2¢ | $109 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 102 | 98.1¢ | $101 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| lmeloreis0xef4f…8be7 | Yes | 100 | 90.1¢ | $99 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 100 | 87.0¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 3,335 | 78.1¢ | $43 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | No | 3,331 | 84.1¢ | $43 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,294 | 78.9¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 608 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 527 | 5.5¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 457 | 8.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 424 | 74.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 391 | 54.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 327 | 50.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 300 | 77.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0x69f0…fb27 | No | 294 | 5.1¢ | $4 | — |
| moneymachine40x7c4a…db2b | No | 204 | 83.6¢ | $3 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 200 | 7.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| sbel0xb226…4163 | No | 199 | 86.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 2,622 bets |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 179 | 7.4¢ | $2 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 174 | 83.0¢ | $2 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 145 | 91.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| gertrudeee0x0295…ed9d | No | 132 | 87.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 73 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| VCA770xa09e…a0cd | No | 62 | 57.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ProrokDanilo0x6b99…246b | No | 50 | 76.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9a02…7e46 | No | 48 | 71.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x80fe…d375 | No | 37 | 94.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 449 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 30 | 84.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| selenalawson0x668a…59e9 | No | 26 | 77.5¢ | $0 | — |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No | 25 | 92.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 20 | 96.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| koyas10x3390…388a | No | 20 | 74.8¢ | $0 | — |
| koyas20x4467…eaf9 | No | 20 | 74.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rexzander0x9fa3…ca65 | No | 20 | 74.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Pekar7770x1ea1…47e4 | No | 19 | 78.3¢ | $0 | New73 settled bets |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | No | 15 | 11.7¢ | $0 | New34 settled bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 14 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| svandoorne0x692b…c1f8 | No | 13 | 82.3¢ | $0 | — |
| zeliasica0xf2f2…03e0 | No | 13 | 78.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0b89…db3d | No | 13 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ovaughn0xa62a…1cce | No | 10 | 86.6¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 10 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 8.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,880 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 10.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | No | 10 | 33.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 10,798 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 81.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 10 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | No | 10 | 14.8¢ | $0 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | No | 10 | 14.9¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 10.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.