Market · 13 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 141 | 40.5¢ | $77 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 73 | 45.0¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 78 | 53.8¢ | $35 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 60 | 50.0¢ | $33 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 55 | 61.5¢ | $25 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| parker000x6249…4010 | Yes | 48 | 62.0¢ | $22 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 41 | 64.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x3245…7139 | No | 32 | 38.2¢ | $17 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 28 | 65.9¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| marketmover-3440x6f64…32b3 | No | 20 | 44.2¢ | $11 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 20 | 47.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xdb5b…f580 | Yes | 21 | 86.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 86.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| BAO958890x300c…6a92 | Yes | 20 | 38.2¢ | $9 | Proven+$4.48 per $100 · 1,903 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 66.0¢ | $9 | — |
| dillongarcia0x9859…8630 | Yes | 12 | 68.0¢ | $5 | — |
| yo20000x6417…8279 | No | 8 | 36.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | 6 | 60.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 6 | 70.0¢ | $3 | — |
| peachgoma0x2e3d…6aa1 | No | 5 | 49.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 5 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 5 | 43.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 3 | 61.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 2 | 64.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x132f…7cdc | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$104.46 per $100 · 108 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| FFFFFFFF90xf333…ba41 | Yes | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.