Market · 13 of 30 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Thomas Massie by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wisechinaman0xdec2…b015 | No | 195 | 54.5¢ | $141 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,312 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 158 | 42.9¢ | $44 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 67.2¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Quarrelsome-Branch0x0cb1…a76c | Yes | 40 | 22.3¢ | $11 | Proven+$14.29 per $100 · 4,868 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 12 | 37.5¢ | $3 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | $3 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 12 | 46.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 2 | 51.2¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | No | 2 | 74.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| Tian-Wen0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 1 | 52.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.90 per $100 · 3,554 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 1 | 46.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xd0d1…41c2 | No | 0 | 64.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.