Market · 9 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 463 | 51.6¢ | $271 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| wisechinaman0xdec2…b015 | No | 315 | 48.6¢ | $131 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,312 bets |
| QR10x45bb…41a7 | No | 203 | 38.4¢ | $84 | — |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | Yes | 100 | 52.0¢ | $59 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 52 | 57.9¢ | $30 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 46 | 52.5¢ | $27 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| MrXxcoolxX0x575b…d2ba | No | 32 | 67.7¢ | $13 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 20 | 64.0¢ | $12 | — |
| foxy40x40ca…a96d | No | 23 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 20 | 47.0¢ | $8 | — |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | No | 20 | 40.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 1,890 bets |
| Flingflonger0xecef…4909 | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $8 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 10 | 47.3¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 5 | 64.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 2 | 61.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 42.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | No | 2 | 48.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.67 per $100 · 1,644 bets |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 2 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 1 | 47.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 1 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 0 | 48.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.