Market · 2 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tian-Wen0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 456 | 91.5¢ | $434 | Proven+$12.91 per $100 · 3,547 bets |
| mpstire-lutuwar0xfde1…3690 | Yes | 139 | 92.1¢ | $133 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 220 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 75 | 83.1¢ | $71 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 42 | 87.6¢ | $40 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 25 | 72.8¢ | $24 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 93.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ninjagamerpinny0x308f…8607 | Yes | 15 | 92.0¢ | $15 | — |
| wisechinaman0xdec2…b015 | No | 256 | 25.4¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,312 bets |
| mr.coolio0x0282…4358 | Yes | 10 | 91.6¢ | $10 | — |
| ShortIT0xd120…9055 | Yes | 10 | 98.7¢ | $10 | — |
| jingerio0xfa6b…5d3a | No | 127 | 8.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Liquidpapercut0x3e40…224e | Yes | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | — |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | Yes | 5 | 90.4¢ | $5 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | No | 73 | 29.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 67 | 4.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 65 | 14.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 3 | 82.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,733 bets |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | 3 | 92.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| 0x36da…907b | No | 46 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.98 per $100 · 399 bets |
| sanliparaguay0x45f6…f6a5 | Yes | 2 | 93.3¢ | $2 | — |
| romanew-1-new0x7438…b741 | No | 45 | 13.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 43 | 7.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 22 | 14.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | Yes | 1 | 93.7¢ | $1 | — |
| chakkudu0x205b…369c | Yes | 1 | 97.2¢ | $1 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 1 | 80.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| aljarreau0x5a75…beb3 | No | 19 | 11.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 105 bets |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 10 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| riusbroke0x0f49…0910 | No | 8 | 13.6¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 0 | 73.2¢ | $0 | — |
| peachgoma0x2e3d…6aa1 | No | 5 | 57.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | 5 | 12.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 5 | 43.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 5 | 18.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | No | 3 | 33.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.67 per $100 · 1,644 bets |
| Monxixilailau0xf894…54e0 | No | 2 | 50.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 130920260x583b…52e8 | No | 1 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.