Market · 6 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 240 | 59.5¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 132 | 60.5¢ | $79 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 136 | 42.6¢ | $54 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 108 | 43.5¢ | $43 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 55 | 43.0¢ | $22 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 33 | 72.2¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 21 | 62.3¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Tian-Wen0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 20 | 52.2¢ | $12 | Proven+$12.74 per $100 · 3,546 bets |
| wjordan0x1c32…d6df | Yes | 15 | 77.0¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 22 | 29.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 45.0¢ | $8 | — |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | No | 20 | 39.0¢ | $8 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 20 | 39.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xc0bc…1473 | No | 20 | 43.0¢ | $8 | — |
| wisechinaman0xdec2…b015 | No | 20 | 53.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,312 bets |
| numberenchanter0xe193…466e | No | 20 | 53.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 15 | 53.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 8 | 19.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 5 | 75.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 5 | 47.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1863…1cc6 | Yes | 3 | 63.0¢ | $2 | — |
| MButts870xdbad…2429 | Yes | 2 | 61.2¢ | $1 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 2 | 53.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| rodriguezand0xb354…8bff | No | 0 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | No | 0 | 41.2¢ | $0 | — |
| FaithfullyTransmitte0xee59…0031 | Yes | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.