Market · 11 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 539 | 41.2¢ | $229 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| Quarrelsome-Branch0x0cb1…a76c | Yes | 245 | 41.0¢ | $141 | Proven+$14.29 per $100 · 4,868 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 218 | 59.7¢ | $125 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 75 | 60.2¢ | $43 | — |
| Tian-Wen0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 45 | 52.1¢ | $26 | Proven+$12.91 per $100 · 3,547 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 40 | 64.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 40 | 61.5¢ | $23 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| doctorno990x4e2d…4936 | Yes | 33 | 53.2¢ | $19 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 31 | 40.5¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 20 | 67.5¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 21 | 48.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x0b4d…35bc | No | 20 | 49.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $9 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 41.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 20 | 66.0¢ | $9 | — |
| vatanyu0x9958…e69e | No | 20 | 49.0¢ | $9 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 8 | 44.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 10 | 30.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0xfbaa…16dc | No | 4 | 27.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pad60xadb4…bc39 | No | 3 | 57.0¢ | $1 | — |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | No | 3 | 41.2¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 58.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 1 | 53.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | No | 1 | 49.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| llh18180x8405…8f6f | No | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| quiet960x2ecc…cb0b | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.