Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?
Chance of Yes
▲ 14 pts this week
Money on this event
31 outcomes
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13¢ between buy and sell
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Ends
Oct 31
in 19 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET).
§2Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
§3A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe.
§4Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
§5Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
§6Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
§7Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption.
§8Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
§9Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
§10A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
§11A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally.
§12This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”).
§13Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
§14A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
§15The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.