Market · 18 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | No | 600 | 40.3¢ | $506 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 149 | 36.5¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 25 | 63.2¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| bowmanlinda0xdf70…edd7 | No | 25 | 62.2¢ | $21 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 90 | 69.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 85 | 43.6¢ | $13 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 82 | 40.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 6 | 72.4¢ | $5 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | Yes | 31 | 40.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 52.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 5 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 25 | 41.0¢ | $4 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | 23 | 40.2¢ | $4 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 20 | 67.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Quarrelsome-Branch0x0cb1…a76c | Yes | 20 | 38.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$14.29 per $100 · 4,868 bets |
| Tian-Wen0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 20 | 52.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$12.91 per $100 · 3,547 bets |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 20 | 83.7¢ | $3 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | Yes | 20 | 83.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 16 | 83.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 65.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 7 | 47.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| x730xf9ee…81c0 | No | 1 | 36.5¢ | $1 | — |
| greedcash0x8ff1…996c | No | 1 | 72.4¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 5 | 40.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | Yes | 5 | 43.5¢ | $1 | — |
| yo20000x6417…8279 | Yes | 3 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | 1 | 39.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 35.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.