Market · 11 of 22 outcomes
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 142 | 99.7¢ | $141 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 89 | 99.6¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 72 | 99.7¢ | $72 | — |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 61 | 98.7¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| 0xfcab…3376 | Yes | 7,364 | 1.2¢ | $41 | New17 settled bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 99.3¢ | $38 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,409 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 2,049 | 0.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,029 | 0.5¢ | $11 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| WILLXX0xd997…2f53 | Yes | 958 | 1.5¢ | $5 | — |
| marucho760x8bc2…fae1 | Yes | 846 | 1.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 793 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| 0x6528…2006 | Yes | 744 | 0.2¢ | $4 | New1 settled bet |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 99.5¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 590 | 4.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,993 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 466 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.01 per $100 · 18,920 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 447 | 5.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 406 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| wac450xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | 390 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 373 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 284 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,803 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 272 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| StfOvrmnV0xfa28…2d3a | Yes | 265 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 224 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 167 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,826 bets |
| snowdrop0x94d3…424c | Yes | 157 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 121 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 118 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 78 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| siffy0xb7c7…b3bb | Yes | 65 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 56 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 50 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 38 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 34 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 27 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 21 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | 20 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 20 | 8.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 19 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,563 bets |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 16 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | Yes | 10 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| botshishui0x0535…91df | Yes | 10 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| asfdt110x7e4c…1cf9 | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 3 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.