Market · 15 of 23 outcomes
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 2,795 | 89.0¢ | $2.65K | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 22,066 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 2,177 | 88.7¢ | $2.06K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 769 | 94.2¢ | $729 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 700 | 93.1¢ | $664 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,710 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 540 | 94.1¢ | $512 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,142 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 400 | 93.7¢ | $379 | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 1,494 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 359 | 85.0¢ | $340 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,428 bets |
| romeinzc0x1bce…24cd | No | 326 | 88.0¢ | $309 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 292 | 96.3¢ | $277 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| BlondBeast0x852a…3188 | No | 187 | 87.4¢ | $178 | — |
| hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvsoeuikmtb0x0111…60f7 | Yes | 3,397 | 13.4¢ | $177 | — |
| MMIWW0xb0ba…b3f9 | No | 167 | 83.2¢ | $158 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 118 | 95.3¢ | $111 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 111 | 86.8¢ | $105 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,985 bets |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | No | 107 | 90.2¢ | $102 | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| 0x4346…b9ee | Yes | 1,947 | 11.3¢ | $101 | New1 settled bet |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 94.8¢ | $95 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 876 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $95 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| wikk0x4ca3…6f85 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $95 | — |
| Nowayfolding0x20b3…d24c | No | 50 | 94.7¢ | $47 | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 877 | 3.3¢ | $46 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,302 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 40 | 94.8¢ | $38 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 668 | 11.1¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 595 | 9.6¢ | $31 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 28 | 95.0¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,747 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 450 | 5.8¢ | $23 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 23 | 93.0¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | No | 20 | 91.6¢ | $19 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 364 | 8.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 16 | 90.6¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,006 bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 267 | 5.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 220 | 8.6¢ | $11 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| andy12670x2d6c…67c8 | No | 10 | 91.7¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 166 | 6.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 140 | 11.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 2026wqojbk0x2afd…b9cd | No | 5 | 91.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$4.22 per $100 · 104 bets |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 5 | 90.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 705 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 74 | 13.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 62 | 10.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 3 | 88.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| Spielermann0x0c93…aafa | Yes | 49 | 4.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.81 per $100 · 320 bets |
| steom0xffd4…b2d2 | No | 2 | 89.6¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 22.2¢ | $2 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 93.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | Yes | 36 | 10.4¢ | $2 | — |
| fl9dqwubtwzf0xa057…f288 | No | 2 | 90.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 31 | 3.6¢ | $2 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 2 | 92.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 26 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 26 | 10.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 21 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xec6b…97df | No | 1 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 13.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 91.2¢ | $1 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 1 | 70.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x14f6…f9f7 | Yes | 18 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 1 | 89.1¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 7.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 7.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 9 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| iceymadeit0x2f23…45fa | Yes | 8 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 89.7¢ | $0 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 218 bets |
| poljdnn170x2b18…a1de | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cedriss0xe086…0450 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.