Market · 44 of 71 outcomes
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 5,368 | 90.2¢ | $5.19K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| teIrose0xdf17…97d1 | No | 5,224 | 93.6¢ | $5.05K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,719 bets |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 1,159 | 88.2¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1,106 | 93.1¢ | $1.07K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | No | 780 | 88.8¢ | $753 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 344 | 95.3¢ | $332 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | No | 295 | 86.7¢ | $285 | Positive+$1.58 per $100 · 639 bets |
| 0x687d…e28b | No | 286 | 78.5¢ | $276 | — |
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 275 | 66.5¢ | $266 | — |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 259 | 77.9¢ | $250 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 469 bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 200 | 87.0¢ | $193 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 190 | 76.6¢ | $183 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| comeNgetMe0x9f3a…3b17 | No | 124 | 81.6¢ | $119 | — |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | No | 110 | 91.5¢ | $106 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| blockbonds0xa151…13b4 | No | 100 | 93.8¢ | $97 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 2,673 | 12.7¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,120 bets |
| Awestin.eth0xb779…ab22 | No | 89 | 86.8¢ | $86 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 73 | 94.9¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,056 bets |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee0x64b4…b21e | Yes | 2,014 | 21.6¢ | $68 | Positive+$13.08 per $100 · 220 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | No | 50 | 83.0¢ | $48 | — |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 50 | 90.5¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 50 | 94.2¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 45 | 91.8¢ | $43 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 1,261 | 17.7¢ | $43 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| tescat0xbe7c…8356 | Yes | 1,172 | 6.2¢ | $40 | — |
| tobyvacher0x70b0…0167 | Yes | 1,088 | 19.0¢ | $37 | — |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 1,000 | 4.0¢ | $34 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | Yes | 869 | 19.6¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,875 bets |
| UsualSuspects0xe097…d811 | No | 30 | 71.0¢ | $29 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 27 | 94.3¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 260 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 24 | 58.1¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| aviad1020x07e4…6c18 | Yes | 582 | 8.9¢ | $20 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 579 | 4.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| Gimmaer0x29a3…9b79 | Yes | 557 | 13.0¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 404 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 465 | 7.5¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 384 | 6.6¢ | $13 | New89 settled bets |
| 0xed47…9d90 | Yes | 357 | 10.2¢ | $12 | — |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | No | 12 | 81.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.30 per $100 · 1,645 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 12 | 83.4¢ | $12 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 11 | 92.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| QbertRules0xf658…dcfe | Yes | 300 | 21.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$20.28 per $100 · 475 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 10 | 80.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 270 bets |
| 0xe010…5147 | No | 10 | 69.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x4c12…62cc | Yes | 223 | 9.3¢ | $8 | — |
| HornyBibi0x708d…ea78 | No | 8 | 70.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.30 per $100 · 522 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 219 | 4.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 180 | 4.5¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.56 per $100 · 337 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 176 | 4.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 172 | 14.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 160 | 11.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.12 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| shinramyvn0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | 146 | 13.1¢ | $5 | — |
| WhatTheBet0xb2bf…f5ad | Yes | 141 | 10.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 5 | 85.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| 0x4773…322c | Yes | 122 | 19.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Dfmdhahjq0x49dd…2a32 | No | 4 | 81.9¢ | $4 | — |
| ghoan0x897a…4194 | No | 4 | 77.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 3 | 60.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| 0x127a…3344 | No | 3 | 84.0¢ | $3 | — |
| tupac0xedc0…99f3 | Yes | 91 | 9.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$28.20 per $100 · 472 bets |
| Aleksei-Ivanovich0xf0ee…4b33 | No | 3 | 81.1¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 72 | 12.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| discretionary0x5c97…fa05 | Yes | 63 | 24.6¢ | $2 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 62 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 60 | 4.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 2 | 94.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Nostdam0xe732…898f | Yes | 53 | 29.3¢ | $2 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 52 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x628a…6d8f | Yes | 50 | 14.5¢ | $2 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | Yes | 50 | 20.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Crocoflex0xcc38…5bb2 | Yes | 49 | 6.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Jarrad0x4805…93ef | Yes | 46 | 36.9¢ | $2 | — |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | No | 2 | 94.4¢ | $2 | — |
| FlabberGhast0xc136…6993 | Yes | 44 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | No | 1 | 46.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc925…6d24 | No | 1 | 68.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ApostadorMestre0xeb8c…dbe2 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 31 | 20.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| Fracker0x5c5a…aabe | Yes | 29 | 24.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 1 | 72.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 1 | 90.6¢ | $1 | — |
| r5pet4g9p16n0x6364…1362 | Yes | 26 | 17.8¢ | $1 | — |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$24.93 per $100 · 1,352 bets |
| CryptoTyke0x2dce…9367 | Yes | 24 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Minliu0x40a9…ed78 | Yes | 23 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Copytrador0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | 21 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| iamgleb0x4676…b720 | No | 1 | 68.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.20 per $100 · 9,234 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 1dzcbb6bgn9p0xc02b…13d1 | Yes | 19 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Gubbers0x6a8b…a7c1 | Yes | 18 | 11.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 17 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 17 | 5.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x3d03…9d52 | Yes | 12 | 12.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | No | 0 | 85.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| 65sfds0x783e…5a19 | No | 0 | 60.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 197 bets |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pollybott0xdbc4…4347 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.