Market · 11 of 21 outcomes
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ggffhnn0x40d8…e097 | No | 117 | 99.8¢ | $117 | — |
| kwxin70x500c…92cc | No | 59 | 99.9¢ | $59 | — |
| 011110x9aa4…b95a | No | 39 | 99.9¢ | $39 | — |
| qingping0x3b7a…03e7 | No | 37 | 99.9¢ | $37 | — |
| hftyiytr0x9056…2016 | No | 37 | 99.8¢ | $37 | — |
| niumoifa0x6038…b5fd | No | 31 | 99.8¢ | $31 | — |
| 1ertroe0xad3a…a845 | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | — |
| nmjj020xbe15…5f02 | No | 28 | 99.8¢ | $28 | — |
| uyuqq0x3e13…f352 | No | 27 | 99.8¢ | $27 | — |
| cvyrrr0x947b…5c69 | No | 27 | 99.8¢ | $27 | — |
| yuhelana0xd042…a05b | No | 24 | 99.8¢ | $24 | — |
| yengaa0xc08a…cd20 | No | 22 | 99.8¢ | $22 | — |
| wangkuio0x8da2…10eb | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| hdyuaa0x2043…f1f4 | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| hyt8880xcd43…3a94 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| yybb70x6bf5…beeb | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 17,581 | 0.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 16,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 15,961 | 3.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 13,357 | 3.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11,853 | 3.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 10,728 | 3.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,227 bets |
| 154f0x8fef…10d6 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,998 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 7,307 | 0.3¢ | $4 | New45 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 4,609 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.11 per $100 · 340 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 4,497 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,896 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 3,217 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 2,721 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.21 per $100 · 20,554 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 2,115 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 1,829 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 1,801 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 1,770 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 1,694 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,599 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,423 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,026 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bigboystan0x4ddf…80af | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| gereamrolinkae0x6998…71a2 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ailas0x6b3c…e1f0 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Nathaniel-ka0x6f5b…ba86 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| cheezbu0x7150…bb18 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 973 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 874 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 643 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 613 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 561 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 537 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1a45…be06 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 451 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| Jucy0x3558…0ece | Yes | 448 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 419 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 400 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 297 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 274 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 264 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.81 per $100 · 29,827+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 257 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 244 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 217 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 150 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| poposub0x3d7d…10fc | Yes | 115 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 40 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.