Market · 6 of 21 outcomes
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,229 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 441 | 1.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1 | Yes | 268 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 152 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 69 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 69 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,322 bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 41 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,375 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 15 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 15 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.07 per $100 · 12,069 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.