Market · 11 of 21 outcomes
Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 700 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 362 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 164 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 163 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 85 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 62 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 50 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 48 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 42 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 40 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 33 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SebW0xf2f2…d1f0 | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 12 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| E23Lowriajksb9182912-as-q0x5f9f…a179 | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.