Market · 13 of 19 outcomes
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 252,878 | 0.4¢ | $126 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| ChasingPaper0x8dc7…116f | No | 116 | 89.2¢ | $116 | Proven+$10.97 per $100 · 442 bets |
| RunThePMarket0x182d…73e9 | No | 100 | 89.6¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 5,062 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 153,200 | 1.3¢ | $77 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 111,781 | 1.3¢ | $56 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| KjerstinDellert0x2d1b…5adb | Yes | 58,052 | 0.2¢ | $29 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 319 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 57,298 | 1.1¢ | $29 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| Fbm0x3887…7f5b | Yes | 55,959 | 0.2¢ | $28 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 49,293 | 1.1¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,851 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 43,385 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,148 bets |
| bart220xf934…8858 | Yes | 43,325 | 0.2¢ | $22 | — |
| Semo8880xe5a0…20da | Yes | 42,000 | 0.1¢ | $21 | — |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| 0x3315…d821 | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 31,312 | 0.6¢ | $16 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| MarketCat0xb807…99cb | Yes | 29,999 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 28,252 | 1.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 27,261 | 1.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 26,610 | 1.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | 25,276 | 0.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x8fe3…19fb | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 20,921 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 20,281 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | Yes | 19,005 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 406 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 14,635 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 13,773 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,527 bets |
| ElizaTorres5930x33b4…0b15 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12,935 | 1.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| electionplayer0x5fe7…44a2 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 11,912 | 1.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,787 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 6 | 98.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| Natalie30550x0d1f…6da6 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| NatanM0x7e8b…c116 | No | 5 | 95.5¢ | $5 | — |
| FrancesErickson5480x7b6b…e2d9 | No | 5 | 0.0¢ | $5 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 10,558 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 10,356 | 5.9¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| AmonMultipleTroops0x2244…b9c2 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| kopeikin18480x204f…1c65 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 10,000 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 8,993 | 1.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.11 per $100 · 340 bets |
| Dorothy18260x54b2…522a | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Anthony11490xd671…2caa | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| 0xecc8…69a7 | No | 4 | 100.3¢ | $4 | — |
| hrishris0x7a94…653a | Yes | 7,596 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3a59…a364 | Yes | 7,338 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 2wsx3edc30x69af…0a19 | No | 3 | 96.5¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,381 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Lauren36130x254a…b7c7 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Martha42970x2e9c…84a8 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,555 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| alpaylui780x5e8a…7961 | Yes | 5,320 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 5,158 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 5,127 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| arjennnnn0x24de…83cb | Yes | 5,000 | 1.3¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0x0d5f…6a8e | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2186…271b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| buddha1220xf44d…68ac | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 4,800 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| QuentinDavis4370x7a7b…4ff0 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| viveriveniversumvivusvici0x63dd…1b51 | No | 2 | 88.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Thefutureisknownforme0xf7ac…a8d7 | No | 2 | 89.1¢ | $2 | — |
| AntonioJohnston270xa2e0…d185 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Frances94130xc874…0191 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| polipleb0xcdfa…d143 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Goricasual0xca88…066b | Yes | 3,710 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Anthony53060xfe6e…9d26 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 3,240 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB0x9a46…1d99 | No | 2 | 99.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Thomas74850xd5a5…0e4d | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e3c…2a42 | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $1 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,375 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 744 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 19220xd604…cb5f | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.59 per $100 · 3,257 bets |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,012 bets |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| l1nkus0x0b54…76ea | No | 0 | 92.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 15 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.