Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 14 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 84,693 | 86.2¢ | $76.6K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| Alex80080x92ea…3741 | No | 51,723 | 90.9¢ | $46.8K | New0 settled bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 42,829 | 88.8¢ | $38.8K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| 0x9157…626b | No | 41,807 | 87.9¢ | $37.8K | Proven+$3.52 per $100 · 562 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 40,010 | 87.5¢ | $36.2K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 39,789 | 84.0¢ | $36K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 33,410 | 90.2¢ | $30.2K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| newbie770xf887…6b54 | No | 29,135 | 88.0¢ | $26.4K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 393 bets |
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | No | 18,400 | 89.6¢ | $16.7K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 17,559 | 79.6¢ | $15.9K | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| Noahrichards980xe57a…e196 | No | 15,942 | 89.3¢ | $14.4K | New35 settled bets |
| maciek10x043a…7f06 | No | 15,494 | 90.3¢ | $14K | New80 settled bets |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 12,682 | 87.1¢ | $11.5K | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| sippingdrank0xece7…3673 | No | 12,257 | 88.6¢ | $11.1K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 949 bets |
| Kris-Future0xa139…6f00 | Yes | 99,020 | 13.5¢ | $9.41K | New54 settled bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | Yes | 89,313 | 9.6¢ | $8.48K | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 266 bets |
| BondSeeker0x9ba7…a833 | No | 9,289 | 85.8¢ | $8.41K | New26 settled bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 8,951 | 88.8¢ | $8.1K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| chriszyy30x052f…53fb | No | 8,874 | 89.0¢ | $8.03K | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 297 bets |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 8,000 | 86.8¢ | $7.24K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 8,000 | 87.5¢ | $7.24K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| vicks0xb2cd…c187 | No | 8,000 | 88.4¢ | $7.24K | New76 settled bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 70,239 | 11.9¢ | $6.67K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 70,000 | 13.1¢ | $6.65K | New6 settled bets |
| UnstoppableLoxodont0x47f7…8d38 | No | 7,000 | 90.6¢ | $6.33K | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | 7,000 | 87.6¢ | $6.33K | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 431 bets |
| sdhyky0x264c…baca | No | 7,000 | 84.7¢ | $6.33K | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 1,477 bets |
| JabJabich0xa927…8d9f | No | 6,574 | 83.9¢ | $5.95K | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 567 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 6,350 | 89.3¢ | $5.75K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| OrbitSugarFree0x890d…15ac | No | 6,135 | 88.6¢ | $5.55K | New74 settled bets |
| firegold0x1d5f…634d | No | 6,000 | 85.6¢ | $5.43K | Proven+$3.24 per $100 · 667 bets |
| C03B0x4060…3ec3 | No | 5,780 | 89.6¢ | $5.23K | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 5,565 | 88.1¢ | $5.04K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 404 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 49,845 | 11.1¢ | $4.74K | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No | 5,000 | 86.0¢ | $4.53K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 4,548 | 84.3¢ | $4.12K | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 4,081 | 87.3¢ | $3.69K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| OnliFi0x07d4…f94f | No | 3,901 | 87.2¢ | $3.53K | New32 settled bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | No | 3,855 | 88.9¢ | $3.49K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| caishiopt0xd5dc…d1df | Yes | 32,191 | 14.5¢ | $3.06K | New62 settled bets |
| VvVvV0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | 3,333 | 90.1¢ | $3.02K | Losing−$1.49 per $100 · 308 bets |
| ggdajiba0x1fa0…0465 | No | 3,178 | 86.1¢ | $2.88K | Break-even−$0.28 per $100 · 127 bets |
| 0xf80e…2af8 | No | 3,011 | 89.2¢ | $2.72K | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 3,000 | 90.0¢ | $2.71K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 2,800 | 84.4¢ | $2.53K | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 2,700 | 62.9¢ | $2.44K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 2,500 | 89.4¢ | $2.26K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| 0x6bd3…3e23 | Yes | 23,181 | 15.2¢ | $2.2K | New13 settled bets |
| baofu1680x71bb…1d9d | No | 2,406 | 88.5¢ | $2.18K | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 148 bets |
| 6161friends0x6b3e…12a6 | No | 2,373 | 90.5¢ | $2.15K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 144 bets |
| DragonSlayer130x97e6…b085 | Yes | 20,972 | 21.9¢ | $1.99K | New11 settled bets |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | No | 2,124 | 88.5¢ | $1.92K | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| franklin100x59fd…c2e2 | Yes | 20,082 | 11.3¢ | $1.91K | New69 settled bets |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | No | 2,100 | 89.2¢ | $1.9K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
| long-short-cuoi-tuan0x2b53…2f29 | No | 2,090 | 89.1¢ | $1.89K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 145 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 2,000 | 64.0¢ | $1.81K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| ssxji0xc34b…cbe2 | No | 1,753 | 90.0¢ | $1.59K | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 131 bets |
| liamweber0x6cfc…a5c2 | No | 1,660 | 89.2¢ | $1.5K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| slippy00x6d16…7228 | Yes | 14,805 | 30.4¢ | $1.41K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 108 bets |
| UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU0x84a7…9743 | No | 1,500 | 89.5¢ | $1.36K | Losing−$14.48 per $100 · 244 bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 11,930 | 13.2¢ | $1.13K | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 11,173 | 24.4¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 8,685 | 10.9¢ | $825 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 7,511 | 11.7¢ | $714 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| 67-ROBLOX-670x3425…cc0b | Yes | 6,263 | 16.6¢ | $595 | New0 settled bets |
| KYUCII0xd8f8…8a6f | Yes | 6,192 | 16.7¢ | $588 | New21 settled bets |
| srmiiie0xbca5…8727 | Yes | 5,656 | 15.2¢ | $537 | Losing−$55.78 per $100 · 173 bets |
| TechTrekker0x7414…8e95 | Yes | 5,600 | 10.5¢ | $532 | Positive+$7.51 per $100 · 174 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 5,132 | 14.6¢ | $488 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | Yes | 5,000 | 12.0¢ | $475 | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| AXIOSinsider0x3d0b…f522 | Yes | 4,907 | 12.2¢ | $466 | New54 settled bets |
| Rafael880x720b…37f6 | Yes | 4,531 | 12.9¢ | $430 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 208 bets |
| 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | 4,115 | 26.4¢ | $391 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| robbinhood690x791d…d914 | Yes | 4,093 | 11.3¢ | $389 | New99 settled bets |
| Certifiedvegan87650xc91a…f049 | Yes | 3,782 | 12.8¢ | $359 | New0 settled bets |
| gods-eye0x1086…27d2 | Yes | 3,450 | 14.2¢ | $328 | New67 settled bets |
| Dubitatif0x6a11…e12e | Yes | 3,449 | 14.7¢ | $328 | New30 settled bets |
| GironaNite0x95d5…08bc | Yes | 3,353 | 12.0¢ | $319 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 201 bets |
| devn00b0x83b9…8506 | Yes | 3,125 | 16.0¢ | $297 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 108 bets |
| brothercaptain0x8361…8e6d | Yes | 3,082 | 12.3¢ | $293 | Losing−$79.19 per $100 · 103 bets |
| 24816326412825651210240x630b…3339 | Yes | 2,931 | 16.6¢ | $278 | New34 settled bets |
| TOPO850x8f15…c363 | Yes | 2,916 | 27.7¢ | $277 | New46 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 2,700 | 11.0¢ | $257 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | 2,471 | 12.4¢ | $235 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| degenerace0xfca7…5d82 | Yes | 2,461 | 15.5¢ | $234 | New42 settled bets |
| armen4real0x6347…294a | Yes | 2,233 | 18.9¢ | $212 | New3 settled bets |
| vincentfire0x7144…6624 | Yes | 2,119 | 11.2¢ | $201 | New92 settled bets |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 2,110 | 13.2¢ | $200 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| sceptermetrix0xb7c5…0828 | Yes | 2,100 | 15.5¢ | $200 | New9 settled bets |
| T1m3chaser0xf1e2…0bd8 | Yes | 2,022 | 16.5¢ | $192 | New17 settled bets |
| Insidemkt0x125f…4331 | Yes | 1,928 | 16.1¢ | $183 | New13 settled bets |
| Vannel1790xa5b4…da2d | Yes | 1,849 | 14.5¢ | $176 | New0 settled bets |
| WethBet0xbaf3…a699 | Yes | 1,786 | 15.1¢ | $170 | New40 settled bets |
| ma5000x4bda…b133 | Yes | 1,715 | 11.1¢ | $163 | New20 settled bets |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 1,560 | 12.0¢ | $148 | New71 settled bets |
| NoahGG0x4298…88d1 | Yes | 1,538 | 16.5¢ | $146 | New15 settled bets |
| abdullahbinshallah0xbff0…1187 | Yes | 1,368 | 20.5¢ | $130 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x75bf…cb8e | Yes | 1,358 | 15.2¢ | $129 | New35 settled bets |
| chillion0x88a2…68a0 | Yes | 1,300 | 14.0¢ | $124 | — |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 1,200 | 9.2¢ | $114 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.