Market · 10 of 25 outcomes
Will Connelly Early win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 25 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302e0xffb1…4165 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| d8f80xa430…4966 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.99 per $100 · 2,568 bets |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 1,000 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 753 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 330 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 237 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 162 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 100 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 97 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 91 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 160,034+ bets · updating |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 82 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 71 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 70 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 70 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 70 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 69 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 64 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,064 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 34 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.37 per $100 · 22,814 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 33 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 30 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| 0x7417…8329 | Yes | 30 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 22 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 18 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 12 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| house20010x52c7…7b7a | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 1 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.