Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47513460x6dd6…f5f4 | Yes | 1,306 | 72.7¢ | $882 | Proven+$3.14 per $100 · 3,391 bets |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 899 | 30.0¢ | $607 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | Yes | 814 | 21.2¢ | $550 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| UFCPilled0x34e5…93ed | Yes | 721 | 73.3¢ | $487 | — |
| pollution0x4574…ab3e | Yes | 579 | 76.2¢ | $391 | — |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | No | 1,007 | 26.1¢ | $327 | — |
| PhilHawesLover0x6b3a…2841 | No | 800 | 70.0¢ | $260 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 9,505 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 293 | 61.2¢ | $198 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| MMAVice0x114a…46c0 | Yes | 281 | 51.3¢ | $190 | — |
| RePLay0x02f3…0a58 | Yes | 269 | 69.0¢ | $181 | — |
| JickNelson0xba74…cd0a | Yes | 261 | 69.7¢ | $176 | — |
| Tomskok0x8e64…6103 | Yes | 260 | 69.6¢ | $176 | — |
| 0xc58a…b8f8 | Yes | 256 | 39.0¢ | $173 | — |
| 0x3818…c72d | Yes | 249 | 71.6¢ | $168 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 426 | 38.9¢ | $139 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| SrFrancisco0x174e…2a52 | Yes | 203 | 72.9¢ | $137 | — |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | Yes | 200 | 59.0¢ | $135 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | Yes | 200 | 70.0¢ | $135 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| Yoelmma0xb2a7…8b19 | Yes | 200 | 69.4¢ | $135 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 288 | 61.0¢ | $94 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | No | 271 | 77.4¢ | $88 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,797 bets |
| 450toMillion0xee3c…ff0d | Yes | 110 | 67.0¢ | $74 | — |
| dixiedox0x86c1…cace | Yes | 109 | 52.2¢ | $74 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 188 bets |
| bigplayer0070xcb6a…0b6b | Yes | 100 | 25.0¢ | $68 | — |
| BIBEW LIMIT TEST0xe407…438b | Yes | 100 | 69.9¢ | $68 | — |
| Freeborne0xbfcc…12a6 | Yes | 94 | 85.3¢ | $64 | — |
| YoelRomeroMMA0x1102…af36 | Yes | 80 | 25.0¢ | $54 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 154 | 31.8¢ | $50 | — |
| zhyfacai0xc320…3d45 | No | 152 | 61.2¢ | $49 | Losing−$14.81 per $100 · 275 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 122 | 34.5¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 122 | 70.4¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| penguinec0xc33d…0d40 | No | 105 | 19.1¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 13,917 bets |
| predictiondiablo0xc9db…6789 | No | 105 | 28.4¢ | $34 | Proven+$6.48 per $100 · 9,516 bets |
| g341210x3c4a…0be9 | Yes | 50 | 67.3¢ | $34 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 316 bets |
| Nrxw0xdf9d…c956 | Yes | 50 | 26.0¢ | $34 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | No | 100 | 17.0¢ | $32 | Proven+$8.57 per $100 · 7,249 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 45 | 64.7¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| lllllllll0xaa13…9c9a | Yes | 40 | 73.6¢ | $27 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 83 | 73.6¢ | $27 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 5,584 bets |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 77 | 31.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| Frieren680x9e45…3662 | Yes | 34 | 23.6¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x1576…dfe6 | Yes | 33 | 30.0¢ | $22 | — |
| aouaouaou0xbab1…57ea | Yes | 30 | 30.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x265b…ded9 | Yes | 29 | 52.0¢ | $20 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 60 | 16.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| zeekay0xf144…4c52 | No | 59 | 85.0¢ | $19 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 27 | 68.4¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| moongatandAk0xffd3…c80f | Yes | 27 | 74.2¢ | $18 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 26 | 43.7¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0xa866…ea51 | Yes | 26 | 39.4¢ | $17 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 52 | 30.6¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 50 | 37.6¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,111 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 66.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 40 | 36.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 18 | 77.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 17 | 55.1¢ | $11 | — |
| Simon4s0xe8a6…644b | Yes | 16 | 67.0¢ | $10 | — |
| PrviGrah0x9d08…0fa6 | Yes | 14 | 69.6¢ | $10 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 36.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 26 | 75.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 21 | 31.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | Yes | 10 | 47.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.98 per $100 · 1,237 bets |
| Bliiiiiiiiiinnn0xb6c8…892e | Yes | 10 | 25.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 39.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| icariam060x9592…a8fd | No | 20 | 39.0¢ | $7 | — |
| cp-temcha0xd44e…2f1e | Yes | 10 | 70.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 18 | 11.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Tail0xdf4d…c832 | Yes | 8 | 39.7¢ | $5 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 7 | 47.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 15 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| hogwifdat0x99f8…4536 | Yes | 7 | 69.6¢ | $5 | — |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | 7 | 70.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| 0x837f…97a3 | Yes | 7 | 30.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xa722…9cc2 | Yes | 6 | 69.0¢ | $4 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | No | 13 | 22.1¢ | $4 | — |
| qcp60x374a…c231 | No | 12 | 17.4¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 774 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 12 | 26.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 6 | 64.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 5 | 52.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 5 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 5 | 75.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0x68a2…7460 | No | 4 | 38.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 972 bets |
| 0x6fc4…0daa | No | 3 | 33.7¢ | $1 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 3 | 70.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| mark.an0x37ac…54fc | No | 3 | 63.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Gambleraddict010xc86b…675c | No | 3 | 61.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 30.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 1 | 31.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 1 | 29.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 55sfds0x2d21…6dfe | No | 1 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 1 | 32.7¢ | $0 | — |
| dfdfed0x82ca…3135 | No | 1 | 54.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x82cd…d7d8 | No | 1 | 32.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 17.5¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 35.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 28 shares each side · Show
|